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" Muscovite Academy of Sciences calculated scenarios of the collapse of Muscovite empire into federal districts
The Russian Academy of Sciences calculated a hypothetical scenario in which the single economic space of the Russian Federation breaks up into autonomous entities along the borders of federal districts.
The calculations were carried out by analogy with the modeling of the collapse of the USSR in the late 1980s - then it was investigated how much of the current consumption the Union republics would lose in the event of a break in economic ties, said the deputy director for science at the Institute of Industrial Economics of the Siberian Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences in an interview with Kommersant , doctor of economic sciences , Corresponding Member of the Russian Academy of Sciences Victor Suslov.
The results of studies on the Russian economy that have been conducted over the past ten years have been, according to him, “depressing.”
“The most self-sufficient macro-region of Russia is the North-West Federal District. In a state of autarchy, he retains 85.4% of the initial level of his target. This is even more than a similar Russian figure on the eve of the collapse of the USSR (64.6%), ”Suslov said.
According to him, the Siberian Federal District (54.2%) looks quite good, the Urals District (22.5%) looks much worse. In other federal districts, a break in external ties nullifies their target.
“The most malicious“ parasite ”on the“ body ”of Russia is the Central Federal District. His “contributions” to the target indicators of all federal districts turned out to be negative, and the “result” of his “interaction” with the North-Western district is the reduction of the latter’s target by almost one quarter, ”says Suslov.
At the same time, the Central Federal District, together with Moscow, is a real Russian center - scientific, educational, innovative and technological, cultural, transport and logistics, financial, etc., he lists: “The current situation is a consequence of the disproportionate and unfairly large income received primarily in Moscow. Financial resources are artificially pulled together to the federal center from all over the country. ”
“Workhorses” in the system of Russian macro-regions are the North-Western, Ural, Siberian and Far Eastern federal districts, says the academician. The Volga, North Caucasus and Southern Federal Districts, on the contrary, have a negative balance of interaction, although not as large as Moscow.
“It is purely speculative that we can compare the current Russian state with the USSR on the eve of the collapse,” Suslov states, adding, however, that the slogan “enough to feed Moscow,” looming on the horizon, is unlikely to stimulate the country's political collapse.
“Still, the cultural and historical foundations of Russia's unity are very strong. But the threat of this slogan can, I hope, lead to an understanding by the central authorities of the need for decisive steps towards real federalism, ”the academician concludes."
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" Muscovite Academy of Sciences calculated scenarios of the collapse of Muscovite empire into federal districts
The Russian Academy of Sciences calculated a hypothetical scenario in which the single economic space of the Russian Federation breaks up into autonomous entities along the borders of federal districts.
The calculations were carried out by analogy with the modeling of the collapse of the USSR in the late 1980s - then it was investigated how much of the current consumption the Union republics would lose in the event of a break in economic ties, said the deputy director for science at the Institute of Industrial Economics of the Siberian Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences in an interview with Kommersant , doctor of economic sciences , Corresponding Member of the Russian Academy of Sciences Victor Suslov.
The results of studies on the Russian economy that have been conducted over the past ten years have been, according to him, “depressing.”
“The most self-sufficient macro-region of Russia is the North-West Federal District. In a state of autarchy, he retains 85.4% of the initial level of his target. This is even more than a similar Russian figure on the eve of the collapse of the USSR (64.6%), ”Suslov said.
According to him, the Siberian Federal District (54.2%) looks quite good, the Urals District (22.5%) looks much worse. In other federal districts, a break in external ties nullifies their target.
“The most malicious“ parasite ”on the“ body ”of Russia is the Central Federal District. His “contributions” to the target indicators of all federal districts turned out to be negative, and the “result” of his “interaction” with the North-Western district is the reduction of the latter’s target by almost one quarter, ”says Suslov.
At the same time, the Central Federal District, together with Moscow, is a real Russian center - scientific, educational, innovative and technological, cultural, transport and logistics, financial, etc., he lists: “The current situation is a consequence of the disproportionate and unfairly large income received primarily in Moscow. Financial resources are artificially pulled together to the federal center from all over the country. ”
“Workhorses” in the system of Russian macro-regions are the North-Western, Ural, Siberian and Far Eastern federal districts, says the academician. The Volga, North Caucasus and Southern Federal Districts, on the contrary, have a negative balance of interaction, although not as large as Moscow.
“It is purely speculative that we can compare the current Russian state with the USSR on the eve of the collapse,” Suslov states, adding, however, that the slogan “enough to feed Moscow,” looming on the horizon, is unlikely to stimulate the country's political collapse.
“Still, the cultural and historical foundations of Russia's unity are very strong. But the threat of this slogan can, I hope, lead to an understanding by the central authorities of the need for decisive steps towards real federalism, ”the academician concludes."
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