Most accurate pollster for the 2012 Pres. election is……..

Discussion in 'Election Forums' started by Trajan, Nov 7, 2012.

  1. Trajan
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    Trajan conscientia mille testes

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    PPP……..


    Gallup and Ras tied for…24th..:lol:

    Hows that for a flip?

    Congrats to PPP.....:clap2:




    November 07, 2012

    The Most Accurate Polls
    A Fordham University study ranked 28 polling firms on how their pre-election national surveys compared to the results on Election Day. The ranking:

    1. PPP (D)
    1. Daily Kos/SEIU/PPP
    3. YouGov
    4. Ipsos/Reuters
    5. Purple Strategies
    6. NBC/WSJ
    6. CBS/NYT
    6. YouGov/Economist
    9. UPI/CVOTER
    10. IBD/TIPP
    11. Angus-Reid
    12. ABC/WP
    13. Pew Research
    13. Hartford Courant/UConn
    15. CNN/ORC
    15. Monmouth/SurveyUSA
    15. Politico/GWU/Battleground
    15. FOX News
    15. Washington Times/JZ Analytics
    15. Newsmax/JZ Analytics
    15. American Research Group
    15. Gravis Marketing
    23. Democracy Corps (D)
    24. Rasmussen
    24. Gallup
    26. NPR
    27. National Journal
    28. AP/GfK


    The Most Accurate Polls
     
  2. AceRothstein
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    AceRothstein Gold Member

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    Rasmussen, as usual, did even worse with their state polling. Pitiful performance from him.
     
  3. Trajan
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    Trajan conscientia mille testes

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    in all fairness hes not alone, nat. journal, gallup, some heavy hitters took the pipe too...the surprise imho, is, no. 6- tied with 4 media organizations.
     
  4. AceRothstein
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    AceRothstein Gold Member

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    Pulled this off Twitter, Rasmussen's difference between his last poll of each state and the final result.

    Just how bad was Rasmussen: CT -10, CO -7, IA -7, NH -7, WI -7, VA -5, NV -4, MI -4, FL -3, NC -3, MN -3, OH -2. Avg: 5.2% off.
     
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  5. JimH52
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    JimH52 Gold Member

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    He should close up shop...I think Raving Rove did better, didn't he?
     
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  6. AceRothstein
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    AceRothstein Gold Member

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    It wouldn't be so bad if he was off in Obama's favor on some of those polls. None of the pollsters are always right but when you are consistently off in favor of one particular party only, you have very little credibility as a pollster.
     
  7. catzmeow
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    catzmeow BANNED

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    Wow...Daily Kos ranked #2. That's not something I ever expected to see.
     
  8. Trajan
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    Trajan conscientia mille testes

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    PPP is their pollster number cruncher....
     
  9. Political Junky
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    Political Junky Gold Member

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    But cons will continue to dismiss the Daily Kos.
     
  10. Trajan
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    Trajan conscientia mille testes

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    again, DK polling is affiliated with PPP for polling calculus.
     

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