SSDD
Gold Member
- Nov 6, 2012
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If fraud is the goal then yes the logarithm is working properly. .Yet no climate scientist - not even Judith Curry or Anthony Watts - could be found to back up Goddard's accusations. So, once again, we have all the world's climate scientists - including several big name deniers - in an evil conspiracy.
Can you people not hear yourself?
Im afraid that you simply havent been following this story.
the skeptical side may still think Goddard is a bit of a crank but in the recent story.......
The scientific method is at work on the USHCN temperature data set | Watts Up With That?Sometimes, you can believe you are entirely right while simultaneously believing that youve done due diligence. Thats what confirmation bias is all about. In this case, a whole bunch of people, including me, got a severe case of it.
Im talking about the claim made by Steve Goddard that 40% of the USHCN data is fabricated. which I and few other people thought was clearly wrong.
Dr. Judith Curry and I have been conversing a lot via email over the past two days, and she has written an illuminating essay that explores the issue raised by Goddard and the sociology going on. See her essay:
Skeptical of skeptics: is Steve Goddard right? | Climate Etc.
Steve Goddard aka Tony Heller deserves the credit for the initial finding, Paul Homewood deserves the credit for taking the finding and establishing it in a more comprehensible
way that opened closed eyes, including mine, in this post entitled Massive Temperature Adjustments At Luling, Texas. Along with that is his latest followup, showing the problem isnt limited to Texas, but also in Kansas. And theres more about this below.
even funnier perhaps is NOAA's response-
Are the examples in Texas and Kansas prompting a deeper look at how the algorithms change the raw data?
No our algorithm is working as designed. NCDC provides estimates for temperature values when:
1) data were originally missing, and
2) when a shift (error) is detected for a period that is too short to reliably correct. These estimates are used in applications that require a complete set of data values.
hahahahaha. yes, it is working as designed. they may regret saying that.
I like facts and figures so Paul Homewood's site is where I would send people to understand what the actual problem is. here is one of his latest articles on NOAA adjustments, mostly TOBS, in Alabama-
Temperature Adjustments In Alabama | NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT
the odd part is that the outlier, Brewton, the adjustments go the wrong way!
The metadata also tells us that Time of Observation was 6pm until 1983, after which it changed to 7am. This is the usual pattern, which is corrected by a warming adjustment, and not the cooling one we see here.
Quite simply, it is a mystery, which underlines the vagaries of the USHCN system and hardly inspires confidence.
I recommend people who are interested in links to the actual NOAA data read this and some of his other recent articles. he has lots of other temperature dataset stuff as well, especially GISS and NOAA