Mitt Romney probably needs to win at least 61 percent of the white vote

[Political Junky]

2012 Or Never For GOP's White Base -- Daily Intel

nymag.com:

A Republican strategist said something interesting and revealing on Friday, though it largely escaped attention in the howling gusts of punditry over Mitt Romney's birth certificate crack and a potential convention-altering hurricane. The subject was a Ron Brownstein story outlining the demographic hit rates each party requires to win in November. To squeak out a majority, Mitt Romney probably needs to win at least 61 percent of the white vote -- a figure exceeding what George H.W. Bush commanded over Michael Dukakis in 1988. The Republican strategist told Brownstein, "This is the last time anyone will try to do this" -- "this" being a near total reliance on white votes to win a presidential election.

Read the whole story at nymag.com

 

[Ariux]

Will there ever be another Republican president, now that we appear to have reached the tipping point between people who vote for Freedom and those who vote for the Nanny state? The only Republican presidents we've had since 1980 had some incumbentcy advantage (GWB being the son of Bush Sr. who was VP or P for 12 years).

There's normally hardly a dime's worth of difference between Democrat and Republican candidates, but the platforms are very different, as is public perception of where the parties stand.