Middle East in 2015

[ekrem]

--- Inter-Banking restrictions between Jordan, Lebanon, Syria and Turkey have been demolished by the 4 Central Banks.
Read more: The Daily Star - Business Articles - Arab banks urged to expand in Middle East


---

Ibrahim Turhan, central bank deputy governor, called on colleagues at a conference in Beirut this month to cooperate in financial supervision and develop a new clearing and settlement system for the region.

“Although I do not undervalue the emotional aspects of this initiative to foster regional integration, yet there are less heavenly and more earthly underlying elements in it,” he said.
“We should think big and see our region including Turkey, Syria, Lebanon and Jordan as an integrated whole market which has more than 100m of population and produces almost $900bn of GDP.”

FT.com - beyondbrics: News and views on emerging markets

--- Much of the 75 projects initiated by the 4 Business and Trade Chambers have been implemented

Business organizations from Turkey, Syria, Lebanon and Jordan Friday adopted an action plan to carry out joint projects to facilitate the integration of the four economies, local media reported on Saturday.
The organizations decided to implement 75 projects under 14 chapters, including transportation and logistics, finance, investments, energy security, tourism, education and culture

People's Daily Online

Turkish President regarding the projects of the 4 Business and Trade Chambers

“Sometimes official signatures adorn agreements but don’t go beyond that. However, if the private sector signs something, it has substance. Their agreements are immediately followed by trade. If a business brings in profit, everyone wants a share and looks to its potential,”

Businessmen take huge step towards borderless Mideast

--- Turkish population has reached 82.6 Million, thereby equaling Germany
Syria: Talking Turkey | Oxford Business Group

--- Common-Market between Jordan, Lebanon, Syria and Turkey which was signed on January 2011 in Istanbul is in its 4th year.
It is 4 country common-market, where the combined GDP of the other 3 countries is 6 times smaller then Turkey`s GDP.
Banking regulations are diminished, thereby easing financing of economical activities of Turkish companies in those countries, and the 4 Business Unions of all 4 countries have or are still implementing 75 projects to fully integrate the economies.
Turkey will simply absorb them economically with a potential common currency.

Syrian Transportation Minister Yaraub Badr

Common market and monetary union
“The regional economic integration model will include steps toward a free-trade zone, customs union, common market, common monetary union and economic union in the future”
[...]
“We have all the energy sources in the Middle East and the production facilities and know-how in Turkey.”
Mediterranean quartet taking step toward union, says Syrian minister - Hurriyet Daily News and Economic Review

Arab economies face import onslaught
...closer trade ties have already begun causing economic disruptions in Syria and could threaten the other Arab partners as Turkey's industrial juggernaut gains freer access to their markets.
Arab economies face import onslaught - Arab News

 

[ekrem]

2011 - 2020
Uniting the North

2020 - 2030
Uniting North and South


Turkish Foreign Minister Ahmet Davutoğlu
"We have united the north (through our cooperation with Syria, Lebanon and Jordan),
and we are going to launch cooperation with the Gulf countries [...]"
Turkey to set up trade zone with Syria, Lebanon, Jordan - Hurriyet Daily News and Economic Review


The Gulf Cooperation Council is uniting parallel with economic and monetary union.
Cooperation Council for the Arab States of the Gulf - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia


And all united under OIC - Organization of Islamic Conference, which is 57 member organization CEO`ed by Prof. Ihsanoglu from Turkey.
But currently it works a bit ineffective on world stage. That will change once 57 members become united in 4-10 blocks and 57 voices are reduced to more powerful voice-blocks.

 

[ekrem]

STRATEGY MAKES A DIFFERENCE -- ONE BIG ONE!
Research Institute for European and American Studies (RIEAS)

The Commentary above discusses the pre-thought manual of Turkish Foreign Policy.
It is written in book form and was published in the year 2000.


The Author

We are self-confident: We know what we are doing, and we have a vision for our country.

Davutoglu picks up and runs with 'dangerous man' moniker - David Kenner | FP Passport
That link also reveals Wikileak cable of the USA describing him as `very dangerous`.


New York Times discussing the Author
Turkey Steps Out
http://www.nytimes.com/2010/10/26/opinion/26iht-edcohen.html

 

[ekrem]

The Economist

The Davutoglu effect
All change for foreign policy


Love thy neighbour, says Davutoglu

That Photo is a bit misleading, because it captures Mr. Davutoglu`s eyes wrong.
In reality, he is looking East without looking back.

 

[ekrem]

The FP Top 100 Global Thinkers

7. Ahmet Davutoglu
for being the brains behind Turkey's global reawakening.
"The world expects great things from Turkey," he wrote in an essay for Foreign Policy. Under his watch, Turkey has assumed an international role not matched since a sultan sat in Istanbul's Topkapi Palace.

Foreign Policy's Second Annual List of the 100 Top Global Thinkers | Foreign Policy

 

[ekrem]

Jadi Link

200 Gbps terrestrial optic-fibre network in length of 2530 km through
- Turkey
- Syria
- Jordan
- S. Arabia

...the project will interconnect Jeddah, Amman, Damascus and Istanbul.

Türk Telekom signs fiber accord with three nations - Hurriyet Daily News and Economic Review
Turk Telekom confirms launch of Jadi Link - Telecompaper


Statement from Turk Telekom says, that terrestrial network will shorten, speed and strengthen data exchage not only within the region but also through the region, as currently data exchange from Europe to Asia goes through under-water cables.
Güncel Detay | Ana Sayfa | Türk Telekom

 

[ekrem]

Yellow is the common-market.
Turkey will de-facto border Israel.

 

[ekrem]

In reality, it is like this once Americans have redeployed.

 

[Trajan]

Jadi Link

200 Gbps terrestrial optic-fibre network in length of 2530 km through
- Turkey
- Syria
- Jordan
- S. Arabia

...the project will interconnect Jeddah, Amman, Damascus and Istanbul.

Türk Telekom signs fiber accord with three nations - Hurriyet Daily News and Economic Review
Turk Telekom confirms launch of Jadi Link - Telecompaper


Statement from Turk Telekom says, that terrestrial network will shorten, speed and strengthen data exchage not only within the region but also through the region, as currently data exchange from Europe to Asia goes through under-water cables.
Güncel Detay | Ana Sayfa | Türk Telekom

what about Israel?

 

[ekrem]

North-Cyprus

 

[ekrem]

what about Israel?

They are not part of the project.
CEO`s of National Tel-companies together with Turkish Infrastructure Minister.

 

[Trajan]

what about Israel?

They are not part of the project.
CEO`s of National Tel-companies together with Turkish Infrastructure Minister.

did they refuse?

 

[ekrem]

did they refuse?

Israel`s relevance in this subject is, that Jordan, Syria and Lebanon are small economies and have no competitive industries.
All protectionist policies in the respective economies will fall, like tariffs and such.
At same time different policy areas like logistics and transportation are streamlined to a common standard.

Just like Stratfor says in its 2010-2020 analysis-video supplied at bottom of this post, Turkish economic growth will outsource in these countries.
You know, free-market thing, trade, acquisitions, outsourcing. All under a common-market framework.

Turkey will destroy their industries in beginning, but they get investments in return and after a while outsourcing. Plus privileged relations.

The Economist in this regard
The Turks are now back in the Middle East, in the benign guise of traders and diplomats. The move is natural, considering proximity, the strength of the Turkish economy [...]
Indeed, Turkey’s Middle East offensive has taken on something of the scale and momentum of an invasion, albeit a peaceful one.
Turkey and the Middle East: Looking east and south | The Economist


For the text version of video, much much longer in content, you have to be registered at their Site.
[ame]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rosZm1JPyMY[/ame]

 

[ekrem]

Plus, those 3 countries can export tariffs-free to whole Arab world.
That is of relevance, because Turkish -- Gulf-Council free-trade agreement is stalling. Free-trade talks began in 2005 and still no finalizing.

Because GCC wants to protect its steel-industry from Turkish companies.
They can not compete
Free trade with GCC falls victim to local industry interests

With common-market with Syria, Lebanon and Jordan, now Turkish companies can set-up steel company in those countries with political-security {investment-protection} and export tariff-free to GCC. Because they have free-agreement with GCC.

We export much more to GCC, then we import

In 2008, GCC exports to Turkey rose fivefold over 2007 and imports from Ankara increased a massive 15-fold, mostly on steel and iron products. Trade volume between the GCC and Turkey grew from $1.5 billion in 1999 to $17.5 billion in 2008. It took a dive in 2009 because of the economic crisis and nicely bounced back up in 2010.

Free trade with GCC falls victim to local industry interests

 

[ekrem]

As for Iran.
Iran is no WTO. When dealing with Iran, there are not trade-standards. Arbitrary.

If you want to export to them - and we definitely want to - you have to have good political relations. Otherwise they will continue to give their contracts and business deals to Chinese for political support.
Of all our neighbors, Iran is biggest market with same number of consumer as in Turkey.

Now, there are good political relations, and that`s why we will triple trade-volume with them within 5 years.
http://www.nytimes.com/2010/10/26/opinion/26iht-edcohen.html

 

[Marc39]

As for Iran.
Iran is no WTO. When dealing with Iran, there are not trade-standards. Arbitrary.

If you want to export to them - and we definitely want to - you have to have good political relations. Otherwise they will continue to give their contracts and business deals to Chinese for political support.
Of all our neighbors, Iran is biggest market with same number of consumer as in Turkey.

Now, there are good political relations, and that`s why we will triple trade-volume with them within 5 years.
http://www.nytimes.com/2010/10/26/opinion/26iht-edcohen.html

Iran is a state sponsor of terrorism. Your head is up your ass. See a proctologist.

 

[HinduPatriot]

Israel and the USA are rightly supporting the PKK freedom heroes as they go about the Turkish occupier cleansing process.

Once the Turkish Muslim terrorists have been cleansed, the PKK Heroes can rightly establish the independent country of Kurdistan.

God bless USA, Israel and Kurdistan.

Ekrem, the Turkish Muslim Terrorists that you support will soon enough be wiped out. The Civilised World has had enough of the Mooslim Terrorist Fuckers.

 

[Marc39]

Israel and the USA are rightly supporting the PKK freedom heroes as they go about the Turkish occupier cleansing process.

Once the Turkish Muslim terrorists have been cleansed, the PKK Heroes can rightly establish the independent country of Kurdistan.

God bless USA, Israel and Kurdistan.

Ekrem, the Turkish Muslim Terrorists that you support will soon enough be wiped out. The Civilised World has had enough of the Mooslim Terrorist Fuckers.

Islam is a dreadful curse.

Winston Churchill...

How dreadful are the curses which Mohammedanism lays on its votaries! Besides the fanatical frenzy, which is as dangerous in a man as hydrophobia in a dog, there is this fearful fatalistic apathy.

The effects are apparent in many countries. Improvident habits, slovenly systems of agriculture, sluggish methods of commerce, and insecurity of property exist wherever the followers of the Prophet rule or live.

A degraded sensualism deprives this life of its grace and refinement; the next of its dignity and sanctity. The fact that in Mohammedan law every woman must belong to some man as his absolute property, either as a child, a wife, or a concubine, must delay the final extinction of slavery until the faith of Islam has ceased to be a great power among men.

Individual Moslems may show splendid qualities, but the influence of the religion paralyses the social development of those who follow it.

No stronger retrograde force exists in the world. Far from being moribund, Mohammedanism is a militant and proselytizing faith. It has already spread throughout Central Africa, raising fearless warriors at every step; and were it not that Christianity is sheltered in the strong arms of science, the science against which it had vainly struggled, the civilization of modern Europe might fall, as fell the civilization of ancient Rome.

[ame=http://www.amazon.com/River-War-Sir-Winston-Churchill/dp/1598184253/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&qid=1288411221&sr=8-1]Amazon.com: The River War (9781598184259): Sir Winston S. Churchill: Books[/ame]

 

[ekrem]

(...)
Ekrem, the Turkish Muslim Terrorists that you support will soon enough be wiped out. The Civilised World has had enough of the Mooslim Terrorist Fuckers.

Turkey has NATO's
2nd largest ARMY --------> Turkish Army - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
3rd largest AIRFORCE ---> Turkish Air Force - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
4th largest NAVY ---------> Turkish Navy - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

Question:
You say, that Turkey will be wiped-out, by whom?
If there would be such a danger, Turkey would increase Military budget, nationalize private-industry and produce military-hardware in private-economy.


Turkish economy produces the equivalent of half the entire output of the Middle East and North Africa

The International Crisis Group (ICG) published a report earlier this week (...).
The report notes, for example, that Turkey's economy produces the equivalent of half the entire output of the Middle East and North Africa.
Original report on ICS Website
International Crisis Group - 203 Turkey and the Middle East: Ambitions and Cons
Summary on Washingtonnote Website
Turkey's Complicated Middle East Role - The Washington Note

 

[Marc39]

(...)
Ekrem, the Turkish Muslim Terrorists that you support will soon enough be wiped out. The Civilised World has had enough of the Mooslim Terrorist Fuckers.

Turkey has NATO's
2nd largest ARMY --------> Turkish Army - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
3rd largest AIRFORCE ---> Turkish Air Force - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
4th largest NAVY ---------> Turkish Navy - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

Question:
You say, that Turkey will be wiped-out, by whom?
If there would be such a danger, Turkey would increase Military budget, nationalize private-industry and produce military-hardware in private-economy.


Turkish economy produces the equivalent of half the entire output of the Middle East and North Africa

The International Crisis Group (ICG) published a report earlier this week (...).
The report notes, for example, that Turkey's economy produces the equivalent of half the entire output of the Middle East and North Africa.
Original report on ICS Website
International Crisis Group - 203 Turkey and the Middle East: Ambitions and Cons
Summary on Washingtonnote Website
Turkey's Complicated Middle East Role - The Washington Note

Israel has been a key arms supplier to Turkey, which until a few years ago was a secular, moderate Islamic country. Unlike, now, a radicalized Islamic shithole. Recently, the Turkish military traveled to Israel for training on Israeli equipment.