Dr.Traveler
Mathematician
- Aug 31, 2009
- 3,948
- 652
- 190
Hello all,
Here is a map of the Electoral College as of today at Rasmussen: Scroll Down to see it.
Here is an interactive map of the electoral college to play along with: 270towin.com
Rassmussen lists the following:
Safe Obama: WA, OR, CA, NM, MN, IL, NY, ME, VT, MA, CT, RI, NJ, DE, MD, DC, HI (201)
Leans Obama: NV, MI, PA, NH (36)
Toss up: CO, WI, IA, MO, OH, FL, VA (95)
Leans Romney: NC (15)
Safe Romney: AK, AZ, UT, ID, MT, WY, ND, SD, NE, KS, OK, TX, LA, AR, MS, AL, GA, SC, TN, KY, WV, IN (181)
Assuming that Romney and Obama hold their "leaning" states, which admittedly is a big if:
Paths for Obama:
1. FL(29EC, O48%R46%)
2. OH(18EC, O47%R46%)+VA (13EC, O49%R48%)
3. OH(18EC, O47%R46%)+(WI(10EC, O47%R48%) or MO(10EC, O45%R48%) or CO(9EC, O47%R47%) or IA(6EC, O44%R46%))
4. VA (13EC, O49%R48%)+(WI(10EC, O47%R48%) or MO(10EC, O45%R48%))
5. (WI(10EC, O47%R48%) or MO(10EC, O45%R48%))+ CO(9EC, O47%R47%) + IA(6EC, O44%R46%))
6. WI(10EC, O47%R48%) + MO(10EC, O45%R48%)+ (CO(9EC, O47%R47%) or IA(6EC, O44%R46%))
Obama can win with just Florida, or he has 5 2 state combinations with Ohio, or 2 2 state combinations with VA, or 2 3 state combinations with WI or MO and 2 3 state combinations with both WI and MO.
I've ran out of time, I'll look at Romney when I get back.
Here is a map of the Electoral College as of today at Rasmussen: Scroll Down to see it.
Here is an interactive map of the electoral college to play along with: 270towin.com
Rassmussen lists the following:
Safe Obama: WA, OR, CA, NM, MN, IL, NY, ME, VT, MA, CT, RI, NJ, DE, MD, DC, HI (201)
Leans Obama: NV, MI, PA, NH (36)
Toss up: CO, WI, IA, MO, OH, FL, VA (95)
Leans Romney: NC (15)
Safe Romney: AK, AZ, UT, ID, MT, WY, ND, SD, NE, KS, OK, TX, LA, AR, MS, AL, GA, SC, TN, KY, WV, IN (181)
Assuming that Romney and Obama hold their "leaning" states, which admittedly is a big if:
Paths for Obama:
1. FL(29EC, O48%R46%)
2. OH(18EC, O47%R46%)+VA (13EC, O49%R48%)
3. OH(18EC, O47%R46%)+(WI(10EC, O47%R48%) or MO(10EC, O45%R48%) or CO(9EC, O47%R47%) or IA(6EC, O44%R46%))
4. VA (13EC, O49%R48%)+(WI(10EC, O47%R48%) or MO(10EC, O45%R48%))
5. (WI(10EC, O47%R48%) or MO(10EC, O45%R48%))+ CO(9EC, O47%R47%) + IA(6EC, O44%R46%))
6. WI(10EC, O47%R48%) + MO(10EC, O45%R48%)+ (CO(9EC, O47%R47%) or IA(6EC, O44%R46%))
Obama can win with just Florida, or he has 5 2 state combinations with Ohio, or 2 2 state combinations with VA, or 2 3 state combinations with WI or MO and 2 3 state combinations with both WI and MO.
I've ran out of time, I'll look at Romney when I get back.
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