Latest polling between Obama and Candidates

Discussion in 'Politics' started by Jackson, Dec 13, 2011.

  1. Jackson
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    Jackson Gold Member Supporting Member

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    Latest polling between Obama and Candidates''

    Latest Polls

    Average of all polls (11/29 - 12/7):

    Iowa Gingrich average pts. +12.6

    New Hampshire Romney average pts. +11.2

    South Carolina Gingrich average pts. +19.3


    Generic Osama vs. Republican candidate (11/28 - 12/4; Rasmussen) Republican +8

    Obama vs. Romney (12/5 -12/9) Romney +3 Obama +2
    Obama vs. Gingrich (12/5-12/7) Obama +5.5


    What does this say to you?

    I believe these should be more current, but take what you can from the info.

    It would appear that Gingrich has a lock on Iowa and South Carolina. Romney has a more moderate lock on New Hampshire, but has been lead has dwindled from past polls. Still a lock, however.

    The latest polls says the Republicans have a generic lead in the polls but when they assign a candidate to the polling, the lead dwindles and sways to Obama in the case of Gingrich. Wonder what the margin of error is in these polls? Didn’t say.

    The more interesting statistics may be coming. What kind of influence will Ron Paul have in the equation when the determination will be between the incumbent and the nominee?

    What kind of impact will the independent voters have? Will disenfranchised Democrats stay home rather than vote for a Republican? Will disenfranchised Romney supporters or anti Gingrich voters opt out of voting if Gingrich gets the nomination? How strong is there an anti Gingrich movement in the Republican base? Likewise with Romney and the elitism and religious concerns continue.

    Will Paul be the spoiler?

    The most threatening statistics for either candidate will come out after the Obama and the nominee debates begin. How many will there be? Anytime or repeated debates for recovery of either candidate after poor performances?

    Since Gingrich and Romney have more experience this past year in debating, will Obama agree to fewer debates?

    Questions, questions. What will the future bring?
     
  2. Billy000
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    Billy000 Democratic Socialist

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    Good thread. Telling.

    However, you are neglecting Gallup's polls, which indicates Obama is evenly matched with Romney and a generic.
     
    Last edited: Dec 13, 2011
  3. Sallow
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    Sallow The Big Bad Wolf. Supporting Member

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    Democrats will not be staying home this election. Not many are paying attention at this point..but when the quality of the Republican candidates becomes more known..watch for Democrats to get more charged up. 2010 was the bridge to far. The recalls and referendums should have been a indicator.
     
  4. JoeB131
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    JoeB131 Diamond Member

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    I'm not sure these polls mean anything at this point about next November. Most of the voters, the some 50% of voters who don't participate in primaries and don't care all that much, are probably not engaged at all.

    I think that Gingrich will prevail because in teh GOP base, there is a justified rage against Obama that he's articulating and Romney isn't.
     
  5. Jackson
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    Jackson Gold Member Supporting Member

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    Interesting points about 2010. You may be right. Of course the one poll that wasn't brought up in the OP was if you liked the direction of the country which was overwhelmingly "no." So who are the voters going to retaliate on for this? Will it be Congress or the administration?
     
  6. Mac1958
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    Mac1958 Platinum Member

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    As long as both parties are controlled by their whacked-out bases, we'll continue to see wild swings back and forth at the ballot box.

    Each party does precisely the same thing - they achieve electoral victory, interpret it as a "mandate" to cram 100% of their agenda down our throats, immediately proceed to overreach, and then wonder why they're beaten in the next one or two elections. And then it gets funny - they each claim the reason they were beaten is that they weren't liberal/conservative ENOUGH. Gotta love it.

    Short memories in politics, indeed.

    .
     
    Last edited: Dec 13, 2011
  7. Jackson
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    Jackson Gold Member Supporting Member

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    I've heard that from many observers who are usually active debaters on both sides.
     
  8. JoeB131
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    JoeB131 Diamond Member

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    Not really, since you've lost as many of those as you've won.

    Fact is, if the economy is still in the shitter come next November, Obama is done. Even he admits this...
     
  9. Sallow
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    Sallow The Big Bad Wolf. Supporting Member

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    I'm thinking the house has alot to worry about..especially if Newt gets the nod. This will reinforce the gridlock politics meme on the Republicans. Newt is the father of that. He's actually shut down the government..and was quite proud of it.
     
  10. Sallow
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    Sallow The Big Bad Wolf. Supporting Member

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    Lost what? 3 of 2 state Republicans got the boot. And the referendums have been a success.

    The economy is only in the shitter for the middle class and poor. It's top heavy now. Many corporations are seeing record profits..and aren't spending on employing people. They are sitting on the cash.
     

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