Is Rasmussen Inaccurate???

Discussion in 'Media' started by PoliticalChic, Feb 27, 2018.

  1. Faun
    Offline

    Faun Messiah

    Joined:
    Nov 14, 2011
    Messages:
    40,428
    Thanks Received:
    6,378
    Trophy Points:
    1,860
    Ratings:
    +21,619
    Job approval rating is not an election.
     
    • Winner Winner x 1
  2. del
    Offline

    del BANNED

    Joined:
    Sep 3, 2008
    Messages:
    52,099
    Thanks Received:
    10,587
    Trophy Points:
    2,030
    Location:
    on a one way cul-de-sac
    Ratings:
    +17,259
    wingers are so anxious for trump to have almost half the country not thinking he sucks.

    unfortunately, that's not the case, just the 35-40% that were stupid enough to vote for the cheeto and are too stubborn to admit they were wrong

    rock on, chunky :thup:
     
    • Funny and Agree!! Funny and Agree!! x 1
  3. PoliticalChic
    Online

    PoliticalChic Diamond Member

    Joined:
    Oct 6, 2008
    Messages:
    76,102
    Thanks Received:
    22,300
    Trophy Points:
    2,260
    Location:
    Brooklyn, NY
    Ratings:
    +47,371

    Zogby:
    "...there are clear reasons why I believe it is more accurate. First and foremost is the fact that it includes “likely voters” and not “all adults” or just “registered voters”. I have maintained this standard over four decades of professional polling. The demographics of likely voters are notably different than more general groups. I have always felt that it is misleading to publish results of likely voters close to an election and adults or registered voters months before an election – then compare them as trends. These are all distinct groups and in matters related to public policy and election choices it is really only likely voters that count. I have never charged (or will ever even intimate) that other major pollsters are biased in their results, but I do think there is a sampling bias when those not really likely to vote are included."
    Are President Trump's Numbers Going Up or Down?
     
  4. PoliticalChic
    Online

    PoliticalChic Diamond Member

    Joined:
    Oct 6, 2008
    Messages:
    76,102
    Thanks Received:
    22,300
    Trophy Points:
    2,260
    Location:
    Brooklyn, NY
    Ratings:
    +47,371
    "I have seen off-year polls showing big Democratic leads only to look at the samples that reveal only 28% or 24% those polled identifying as Republican.
    That is just not America.

    I have always looked at the exit polls of the previous relevant election (i.e. presidential, congressional, gubernatorial) and also any relevant trending (increased Hispanic or African American voter registration, hot issue impacting one side or the other) and adjusted my samples accordingly. If we closely examine each of the three polls noted above we can see where a good bit of the discrepancy in findings come from.

    The 2016 exit polls showed party identification among those who voted to be 36% Democrat, 33% Republican, 31% independent/other party. The Suffolk University Poll had 37.3% Democrat but only 28.8% Republican – hence a major reason for the poor showing for both Mr. Trump and the GOP in the congressional generic ballot."
    Are President Trump's Numbers Going Up or Down?



    Zogby agrees with Rasmussen.
     
  5. PoliticalChic
    Online

    PoliticalChic Diamond Member

    Joined:
    Oct 6, 2008
    Messages:
    76,102
    Thanks Received:
    22,300
    Trophy Points:
    2,260
    Location:
    Brooklyn, NY
    Ratings:
    +47,371
    "...the Zogby Analytics poll was 37% Democrat and 33% Republican – pretty much the way it should be. Incidentally, while I often look at the averages of all the polls, I do tend to favor not only polls that feature my last name but also those of the Rasmussen organization, not only because these are among the most accurate over the years but also because of the attention they place on getting party identification closer to reality."
    Are President Trump's Numbers Going Up or Down?
     
  6. Faun
    Offline

    Faun Messiah

    Joined:
    Nov 14, 2011
    Messages:
    40,428
    Thanks Received:
    6,378
    Trophy Points:
    1,860
    Ratings:
    +21,619
    Zogby??

    That pollster is so discredited, they’re one of the only polls, realclearpolitics won’t include.

    Figures a liar like you relies on a worthless pollster like Zogby.

    :lmao:
     
  7. PoliticalChic
    Online

    PoliticalChic Diamond Member

    Joined:
    Oct 6, 2008
    Messages:
    76,102
    Thanks Received:
    22,300
    Trophy Points:
    2,260
    Location:
    Brooklyn, NY
    Ratings:
    +47,371
    "WaPo: Dems Now Openly Fretting About Rising Trump Approval, Deteriorating 2018 Prospects
    CNN's newest national survey shows most Americans are pleased with the general state of the country, with Democrats' 2018 advantage down to just three points (as opposed to 16 points in the same series several months ago). Reuters' national data shows Democrats' lead whittled down to one measly point, well within the margin of error. At the beginning of the year, 'Chuck and Nancy's' party held a double digit average lead on the generic ballot, according to Real Clear Politics. That margin has now been chopped in half, to just under six percentage points.

    Perhaps more worrisome to liberals is President Trump's increased public opinion standing."
    Flop Sweat? Dems Now Openly Fretting About Rising Trump Approval, Sinking 2018 Prospects
     
  8. PoliticalChic
    Online

    PoliticalChic Diamond Member

    Joined:
    Oct 6, 2008
    Messages:
    76,102
    Thanks Received:
    22,300
    Trophy Points:
    2,260
    Location:
    Brooklyn, NY
    Ratings:
    +47,371
    [​IMG]
     
  9. Faun
    Offline

    Faun Messiah

    Joined:
    Nov 14, 2011
    Messages:
    40,428
    Thanks Received:
    6,378
    Trophy Points:
    1,860
    Ratings:
    +21,619
    As always, you post utter bullshit. Odd how your artifor neglects to mention the CNN polls are right in line with all other polls except for Rasmussen. Or how Rasmussen is typically higher than every other poll.

    And why is Rasmussen off? Because they don’t poll all adults.
     
  10. andaronjim
    Offline

    andaronjim Gold Member

    Joined:
    May 6, 2015
    Messages:
    12,149
    Thanks Received:
    1,756
    Trophy Points:
    290
    Ratings:
    +10,719
    Bwaaaaahhaaaahhaaaaaa..Polls, Democrats were polled to win the 2016 election.........Just too fucking funny...
     

Share This Page