InTrade's odds on Obama to win in 2012 is 60.5%, too high or too low? I know this message board is probably about 55% Pub/Tea, 30% Dem, 15% Indy, so I know what to expect in terms of answers...a lot of bias. But, we can parse through the jibber jabber and maybe get one decent post out of every 10 on this thread to add some valued thought and perspective. Do you think that number is too high or too low? I'd say, it's about right, maybe slightly low. I'd put the number at 60-65%. That's about the historical average of an incumbent. I'll explain my reasoning for my thought after I get some feedback as to what you all think.