Preliminary Christmas logistics reports do not look good. Trucks, trains and tugs are carrying very few toys. The foreclosure mess is so bad that the banking industry is requesting a national property registry to evade state and local taxes. If Obama has two functioning neurons then the only way that bill will get his signature is as part of a must pass bill passed after the GOP house majority gets sworn in. But it is debatable whether such a bill can ever make it out of committee in either house. Ireland and China are both in trouble of different sorts. The conjoint bet that China and the PIIGS can both deleverage without dropping Gross World Product is not a bet I would make. Informal economic measures of female libido seem to indicate that women are not too thrilled with having kids in this economic environment. Skirt length, sales of sexier bras and how hot the waitress is at low end restaurants all seem to indicate that the female consensus is that the economy sucks. So what other informal indicators of future economic returns are out there?