If Picking Ryan assured Obama a Win, where is the Bump in the Polls?

Rass is with out a doubt the most accurate Polling Outlet there has been in the last several Election Cycles, Bias or no Bias.

Where does this perception come from? Rasmussen's polls in 2010 were not impressive. They were downright bad.

pollacc1.png
 
Rass is with out a doubt the most accurate Polling Outlet there has been in the last several Election Cycles, Bias or no Bias.

Where does this perception come from? Rasmussen's polls in 2010 were not impressive. They were downright bad.

pollacc1.png

The right wing trolls love Rasmussen because they always tell them what they want to hear by having a hard right bias.
 
That's why I will only ever post RCP, Because it's an Average of 10 Polls.


Not that said, My question is simple, Could one of you Dems who have been telling us By Picking Ryan Romney Lost the Election Answer it for me. Why has Obama's Lead on RCP shrank by .7 of a point in the time Since the Announcement instead of Growing?

Believe what you want with your Fox news polls.


What the hell are you talking about lol. Now RCP isn't Credible?

to funny.

Fox news actually has Obama way up Fucktard, and Rass is with out a doubt the most accurate Polling Outlet there has been in the last several Election Cycles, Bias or no Bias. When you compare their Polls before the election to the Results they are more accurate than anyone else. Period.

Wow you have some major anger issues you come on here start a thread and swear them up and down if they don't respond the way that you like. What a sad thing, and I wonder if your this mean in person. Or maybe your the kind that would run over a old granny crossing the road without looking back.
 
Rass is with out a doubt the most accurate Polling Outlet there has been in the last several Election Cycles, Bias or no Bias.

Where does this perception come from? Rasmussen's polls in 2010 were not impressive. They were downright bad.

pollacc1.png

The right wing trolls love Rasmussen because they always tell them what they want to hear by having a hard right bias.

and yet they got it right in 2008:

http://www.fordham.edu/images/academics/graduate_schools/gsas/elections_and_campaign_/poll%20accuracy%20in%20the%202008%20presidential%20election.pdf


Here are the actual non totalized results for 2010.

2010 Gubernatorial Pollster Ratings
 
RealClearPolitics - Election 2008 - General Election: McCain vs. Obama

Poll Date Sample MoE Obama (D) McCain (R) Spread
Final Results -- -- -- 52.9 45.6 Obama +7.3
RCP Average 10/29 - 11/3 -- -- 52.1 44.5 Obama +7.6
Marist 11/3 - 11/3 804 LV 4.0 52 43 Obama +9
Battleground (Lake)* 11/2 - 11/3 800 LV 3.5 52 47 Obama +5
Battleground (Tarrance)* 11/2 - 11/3 800 LV 3.5 50 48 Obama +2
Rasmussen Reports 11/1 - 11/3 3000 LV 2.0 52 46 Obama +6
Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby 11/1 - 11/3 1201 LV 2.9 54 43 Obama +11
IBD/TIPP 11/1 - 11/3 981 LV 3.2 52 44 Obama +8
FOX News 11/1 - 11/2 971 LV 3.0 50 43 Obama +7
NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl 11/1 - 11/2 1011 LV 3.1 51 43 Obama +8
Gallup 10/31 - 11/2 2472 LV 2.0 55 44 Obama +11
Diageo/Hotline 10/31 - 11/2 887 LV 3.3 50 45 Obama +5
CBS News 10/31 - 11/2 714 LV -- 51 42 Obama +9
Ipsos/McClatchy 10/30 - 11/2 760 LV 3.6 53 46 Obama +7
ABC News/Wash Post 10/30 - 11/2 2470 LV 2.5 53 44 Obama +9
CNN/Opinion Research 10/30 - 11/1 714 LV 3.5 53 46 Obama +7
Pew Research 10/29 - 11/1 2587 LV 2.0 52 46 Obama +6
 
I know, let's cut taxes on the bloated rich, destroy Medicare and health reform, raise taxes and fees on the nonrich, let corporate cheats run wild, cut aid to states and localities, raise military spending to more than the rest of the world combined, and worry about the debt in 2035.
Absolute idiocy, dupes.

Greetings from NY 27th- Dem for the first time ever last year over the Ryan Plan...Romneycare will fix Medicare- vouchers are for the birds...
 
In the time since Romney Picked Ryan, on RCP Obama has gone from plus 4.7 to plus 4.

If we are to Believe Democrats who are telling us they are so Happy Ryan is the Pick, and Romney basically threw the Election by Picking him. Then shouldn't there be a Bump in Obama's Poll numbers and not a .7 point drop?


Romney announced his pick on SATURDAY--and you expect a poll on Monday---:badgrin::badgrin:

Da--Duh--:badgrin:
 
Take some deep breaths, you'll be fine.
Translation: Obama is doomed.
Every day Romney looks better and better. Every day Obama looks worse and worse. He is reduced to telling not very believable lies and blaming the GOP for the failure of his own policies, passed by his own party.

You are indeed a confident man.

8-24-11:
The Rabbi said:
Perry is garlic for the Democratic vampires. He gains momentum daily. The more people hear him, the more they like him. He does not speak in scripted sound bites, and he has absolutely gets it. He has had 10 years plus in Texas politics, which is not a gentlemen's game. He is also badly underestimated by the Obama camp.
I'd look for a growing surge in momentum as he blows away the other candidates and sharpens his claws on Obama and his disgusting record of failure.

As I said, take a few deep breaths. You'll be fine.

So tell me how Obama will get UE down below 6% and reduce the number of people on welfare and food stamps in the next 90 days.
Have you started your Prozac yet?
 
RealClearPolitics - Election 2008 - General Election: McCain vs. Obama

Poll Date Sample MoE Obama (D) McCain (R) Spread
Final Results -- -- -- 52.9 45.6 Obama +7.3
RCP Average 10/29 - 11/3 -- -- 52.1 44.5 Obama +7.6
Marist 11/3 - 11/3 804 LV 4.0 52 43 Obama +9
Battleground (Lake)* 11/2 - 11/3 800 LV 3.5 52 47 Obama +5
Battleground (Tarrance)* 11/2 - 11/3 800 LV 3.5 50 48 Obama +2
Rasmussen Reports 11/1 - 11/3 3000 LV 2.0 52 46 Obama +6
Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby 11/1 - 11/3 1201 LV 2.9 54 43 Obama +11
IBD/TIPP 11/1 - 11/3 981 LV 3.2 52 44 Obama +8
FOX News 11/1 - 11/2 971 LV 3.0 50 43 Obama +7
NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl 11/1 - 11/2 1011 LV 3.1 51 43 Obama +8
Gallup 10/31 - 11/2 2472 LV 2.0 55 44 Obama +11
Diageo/Hotline 10/31 - 11/2 887 LV 3.3 50 45 Obama +5
CBS News 10/31 - 11/2 714 LV -- 51 42 Obama +9
Ipsos/McClatchy 10/30 - 11/2 760 LV 3.6 53 46 Obama +7
ABC News/Wash Post 10/30 - 11/2 2470 LV 2.5 53 44 Obama +9
CNN/Opinion Research 10/30 - 11/1 714 LV 3.5 53 46 Obama +7
Pew Research 10/29 - 11/1 2587 LV 2.0 52 46 Obama +6

Excellent post! All polls showed Obama ahead, almost all of them outside of the margin of error. And Obama won with a big majority.
This time almost all polls show a dead heat, within margin of error. And since most of those polls are stacked in favor of Democrats, and people are probably not being honest with pollsters, it indicates a blow out for Romney.
Good work.
 
Translation: Obama is doomed.
Every day Romney looks better and better. Every day Obama looks worse and worse. He is reduced to telling not very believable lies and blaming the GOP for the failure of his own policies, passed by his own party.

You are indeed a confident man.

8-24-11:
The Rabbi said:
Perry is garlic for the Democratic vampires. He gains momentum daily. The more people hear him, the more they like him. He does not speak in scripted sound bites, and he has absolutely gets it. He has had 10 years plus in Texas politics, which is not a gentlemen's game. He is also badly underestimated by the Obama camp.
I'd look for a growing surge in momentum as he blows away the other candidates and sharpens his claws on Obama and his disgusting record of failure.

As I said, take a few deep breaths. You'll be fine.

So tell me how Obama will get UE down below 6% and reduce the number of people on welfare and food stamps in the next 90 days.
Have you started your Prozac yet?

Not even a moment to reflect on you using the same narrative--nearly the same language--to describe Romney's campaign as you did wonder-candidate Perry's almost exactly a year ago?

Is there a modicum of self-awareness behind that angry, deluded facade somewhere?
 
RealClearPolitics - Election 2008 - General Election: McCain vs. Obama

Poll Date Sample MoE Obama (D) McCain (R) Spread
Final Results -- -- -- 52.9 45.6 Obama +7.3
RCP Average 10/29 - 11/3 -- -- 52.1 44.5 Obama +7.6
Marist 11/3 - 11/3 804 LV 4.0 52 43 Obama +9
Battleground (Lake)* 11/2 - 11/3 800 LV 3.5 52 47 Obama +5
Battleground (Tarrance)* 11/2 - 11/3 800 LV 3.5 50 48 Obama +2
Rasmussen Reports 11/1 - 11/3 3000 LV 2.0 52 46 Obama +6
Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby 11/1 - 11/3 1201 LV 2.9 54 43 Obama +11
IBD/TIPP 11/1 - 11/3 981 LV 3.2 52 44 Obama +8
FOX News 11/1 - 11/2 971 LV 3.0 50 43 Obama +7
NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl 11/1 - 11/2 1011 LV 3.1 51 43 Obama +8
Gallup 10/31 - 11/2 2472 LV 2.0 55 44 Obama +11
Diageo/Hotline 10/31 - 11/2 887 LV 3.3 50 45 Obama +5
CBS News 10/31 - 11/2 714 LV -- 51 42 Obama +9
Ipsos/McClatchy 10/30 - 11/2 760 LV 3.6 53 46 Obama +7
ABC News/Wash Post 10/30 - 11/2 2470 LV 2.5 53 44 Obama +9
CNN/Opinion Research 10/30 - 11/1 714 LV 3.5 53 46 Obama +7
Pew Research 10/29 - 11/1 2587 LV 2.0 52 46 Obama +6

Excellent post! All polls showed Obama ahead, almost all of them outside of the margin of error. And Obama won with a big majority.
This time almost all polls show a dead heat, within margin of error. And since most of those polls are stacked in favor of Democrats, and people are probably not being honest with pollsters, it indicates a blow out for Romney.
Good work.

"Most" are not within the MoE, nor are they a "Dead heat".

and what makes you conclude they are "stacked in favor of Democrats"?


Politico/GWU/Battleground 8/5 - 8/9 1000 LV 3.1 48 47 Obama +1
Rasmussen Tracking 8/10 - 8/12 1500 LV 3.0 44 47 Romney +3
Gallup Tracking 8/6 - 8/12 3050 RV 2.0 46 46 Tie
IBD/CSM/TIPP 8/3 - 8/10 828 RV 3.5 46 39 Obama +7
CNN/Opinion Research 8/7 - 8/8 911 RV 3.5 52 45 Obama +7
FOX News 8/5 - 8/7 930 RV 3.0 49 40 Obama +9
Reuters/Ipsos 8/2 - 8/6 1014 RV 3.4 49 42 Obama +7
 
He was already ahead in national polling and that lead is widening everyday. Obama is also ahead on the electoral map and he has been for months.

Ryan was a weak pick and he isn't going to change that.
 
You are indeed a confident man.

8-24-11:


As I said, take a few deep breaths. You'll be fine.

So tell me how Obama will get UE down below 6% and reduce the number of people on welfare and food stamps in the next 90 days.
Have you started your Prozac yet?

Not even a moment to reflect on you using the same narrative--nearly the same language--to describe Romney's campaign as you did wonder-candidate Perry's almost exactly a year ago?

Is there a modicum of self-awareness behind that angry, deluded facade somewhere?

Please tell me how Obama is going to fix unemployment in the next 90 days when he's spent 3 years doing the opposite.
That is the only question worth answering here.
 

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