Global Warming or Cooling? Place Your Bets.

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May 8, 2004
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Climate Casino: Global Cooling Or Global Warming, Place Your Bets



Last week a spasm of media coverage including a New York times article by Andrew Revkin followed the journal Nature publishing a study (abstract here) predicting that in the two time periods of 2000 - 2010 and 2005 - 2015 the Earth is and will be experiencing a period of global cooling rather than the man-made global warming trend that most of us have come to expect.

The German team that wrote the Nature paper made its predictions - which are for the Northern Hemisphere only - by running simulations of the global climate and tinkering with the conditions of the oceans in the simulations. The result, according to the Nature paper's authors:

"Global surface temperatures may not increase over the next decade as natural climate variations in the North Atlantic and tropical Pacific temporarily offset the projected anthropogenic warming."

Wanna bet? asks a group of climate scientists at the RealClimate commentary site.

It's very important to note that neither the German scientists (hailing from the Leibniz Institute of Marine Sciences and the Max Planck Institute for Meteorology) nor the international group at RealClimate are disputing that the overall long-term trend will be a warming earth.

Climate Casino: Global Cooling Or Global Warming, Place Your Bets : TreeHugger
 
Normally I can't stand partisan sites, but TreeHugger I like ... combating one extremism with another, but in a logical way. Thanks Pale.

Oh, and I would trust a German scientist long before any peer pressured US scientist ...
 
I have a theory and this theory goes as follows and begins now. Ahem. I predict that it will get warm at one end, much cooler in the middle, and warm again at the far end. That is my theory, it is mine, and belongs to me and I own it, and what it is too.
 
I have a theory and this theory goes as follows and begins now. Ahem. I predict that it will get warm at one end, much cooler in the middle, and warm again at the far end. That is my theory, it is mine, and belongs to me and I own it, and what it is too.

*steals it* :tongue:
 
I have a theory and this theory goes as follows and begins now. Ahem. I predict that it will get warm at one end, much cooler in the middle, and warm again at the far end. That is my theory, it is mine, and belongs to me and I own it, and what it is too.

Just as ridiculous as man made global warming.... I like it.
 
I have a theory and this theory goes as follows and begins now. Ahem. I predict that it will get warm at one end, much cooler in the middle, and warm again at the far end. That is my theory, it is mine, and belongs to me and I own it, and what it is too.

Just as ridiculous as man made global warming.... I like it.

... and it's even based on the same scientific method as global warming ... win-win if you ask me.
 
Im willing to bet on neither. I dont think there is global warming or cooling. I think the world's climate naturally changes back and forth.
 
I have a theory and this theory goes as follows and begins now. Ahem. I predict that it will get warm at one end, much cooler in the middle, and warm again at the far end. That is my theory, it is mine, and belongs to me and I own it, and what it is too.


That's it, is it?

Well, this is what it is - my theory that I have, that is to say, which is mine, is mine.
 
Climate Casino: Global Cooling Or Global Warming, Place Your Bets



Last week a spasm of media coverage including a New York times article by Andrew Revkin followed the journal Nature publishing a study (abstract here) predicting that in the two time periods of 2000 - 2010 and 2005 - 2015 the Earth is and will be experiencing a period of global cooling rather than the man-made global warming trend that most of us have come to expect.

The German team that wrote the Nature paper made its predictions - which are for the Northern Hemisphere only - by running simulations of the global climate and tinkering with the conditions of the oceans in the simulations. The result, according to the Nature paper's authors:

"Global surface temperatures may not increase over the next decade as natural climate variations in the North Atlantic and tropical Pacific temporarily offset the projected anthropogenic warming."

Wanna bet? asks a group of climate scientists at the RealClimate commentary site.

It's very important to note that neither the German scientists (hailing from the Leibniz Institute of Marine Sciences and the Max Planck Institute for Meteorology) nor the international group at RealClimate are disputing that the overall long-term trend will be a warming earth.

Climate Casino: Global Cooling Or Global Warming, Place Your Bets : TreeHugger

Yeah... I'd like to wager 10 trillion on "Cycle..." Yeah it's a sure thing, so the odds are fairly low... but it's a winner and that's how I roll...
 
I have a theory and this theory goes as follows and begins now. Ahem. I predict that it will get warm at one end, much cooler in the middle, and warm again at the far end. That is my theory, it is mine, and belongs to me and I own it, and what it is too.


That's it, is it?

Well, this is what it is - my theory that I have, that is to say, which is mine, is mine.

Well, er, this theory of yours appears to have hit the nail on the head.

Thank you very much for coming along to the studio. Thank you.
 

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