Global Warming of 1.5C

[Mikeoxenormous]

"An IPCC special report on the impacts of global warming of 1.5C above pe-industrial levels and related greenhouse gas emission pathways, in the context of strengthening the global response to the threat of climate change, sustainable development and efforts to eradicate poverty."

The IPCC has released a report during the workup towards AR6 with inputs from all three Working Groups and including a Summary for Policy Makers (SPM). I aim this thread at those who consistently express concern about the cost of measures to reduce GHG emissions and those who minimize the magnitude of the the threat.

The full report may be viewed at Global Warming of 1.5 ºC —

Below are the opening bullets to the SPM

Understanding Global Warming of 1.5°C4
A.1 Human activities are estimated to have caused approximately 1.0°C of global warming5 above pre-industrial levels, with a likely range of 0.8°C to 1.2°C. Global warming is likely to reach 1.5°C between 2030 and 2052 if it continues to increase at the current rate. (high confidence) (Figure SPM.1) {1.2}

A.1.1 Reflecting the long-term warming trend since pre-industrial times, observed global mean surface temperature (GMST) for the decade 2006–2015 was 0.87°C (likely between 0.75°C and 0.99°C)6 higher than the average over the 1850–1900 period (very high confidence). Estimated anthropogenic global warming matches the level of observed warming to within ±20% (likely range). Estimated anthropogenic global warming is currently increasing at 0.2°C (likely between 0.1°C and 0.3°C) per decade due to past and ongoing emissions (high confidence). {1.2.1, Table 1.1, 1.2.4}

A.1.2 Warming greater than the global annual average is being experienced in many land regions and seasons, including two to three times higher in the Arctic. Warming is generally higher over land than over the ocean. (high confidence) {1.2.1, 1.2.2, Figure 1.1, Figure 1.3, 3.3.1, 3.3.2}

A.1.3 Trends in intensity and frequency of some climate and weather extremes have been detected over time spans during which about 0.5°C of global warming occurred (medium confidence). This assessment is based on several lines of evidence, including attribution studies for changes in extremes since 1950. {3.3.1, 3.3.2, 3.3.3}

Just as a side note... This just in...

Airlines Issue Weather Waivers for 74 Airports Ahead of Massive Blizzard

We are entering peak winter storm season, and — right on schedule — the worst winter storm of the season is making its way across the US. Airlines have already started issuing wide-ranging change fee waivers to allow flexible travelers the opportunity to reschedule their flights to avoid the mess.

Now just imagine if the world actually was warming up 1.5 degrees C. That would mean if the outside temperature was 32 degrees F., with a 0.8 degree C. increase or 33.444 degrees F. more, it would be 66 degrees and no snow, but as see from this weather event, the cricket is full of shit along with the IPCC...Now we do know that the IPCC wants to steal money from Rich countries then give some to the poor countries and pocket all what is left of the billions of dollars in energy taxes. Are you part of the IPCC , you sure seem to be as crooked as they are...

Just cant get more stupid than a liberal, well maybe a female liberal can be more stupid...

Convert Units of Temperature - Celsius, Fahrenheit, Kelvin

Now just imagine if the world actually was warming up 1.5 degrees C. That would mean if the outside temperature was 32 degrees F., with a 0.8 degree C. increase or 33.444 degrees F. more, it would be 66 degrees and no snow,

Ummm…..a 0.8C increase from 32 degrees Fahrenheit would make the temperature 33.44 degrees Fahrenheit, not 66 degrees Fahrenheit.

either way, the temperature is above the freezing mark, yet this is going to be the worst winter storm of the season...

either way, the temperature is above the freezing mark

Yes, any time you add a positive number to the freezing point, the result will be above the freezing point.
If that's your criteria, 33.44F is identical to 66F.

When it comes to snow, what does the temperature have to be to have it fall?

 

[Toddsterpatriot]

"An IPCC special report on the impacts of global warming of 1.5C above pe-industrial levels and related greenhouse gas emission pathways, in the context of strengthening the global response to the threat of climate change, sustainable development and efforts to eradicate poverty."

The IPCC has released a report during the workup towards AR6 with inputs from all three Working Groups and including a Summary for Policy Makers (SPM). I aim this thread at those who consistently express concern about the cost of measures to reduce GHG emissions and those who minimize the magnitude of the the threat.

The full report may be viewed at Global Warming of 1.5 ºC —

Below are the opening bullets to the SPM

Understanding Global Warming of 1.5°C4
A.1 Human activities are estimated to have caused approximately 1.0°C of global warming5 above pre-industrial levels, with a likely range of 0.8°C to 1.2°C. Global warming is likely to reach 1.5°C between 2030 and 2052 if it continues to increase at the current rate. (high confidence) (Figure SPM.1) {1.2}

A.1.1 Reflecting the long-term warming trend since pre-industrial times, observed global mean surface temperature (GMST) for the decade 2006–2015 was 0.87°C (likely between 0.75°C and 0.99°C)6 higher than the average over the 1850–1900 period (very high confidence). Estimated anthropogenic global warming matches the level of observed warming to within ±20% (likely range). Estimated anthropogenic global warming is currently increasing at 0.2°C (likely between 0.1°C and 0.3°C) per decade due to past and ongoing emissions (high confidence). {1.2.1, Table 1.1, 1.2.4}

A.1.2 Warming greater than the global annual average is being experienced in many land regions and seasons, including two to three times higher in the Arctic. Warming is generally higher over land than over the ocean. (high confidence) {1.2.1, 1.2.2, Figure 1.1, Figure 1.3, 3.3.1, 3.3.2}

A.1.3 Trends in intensity and frequency of some climate and weather extremes have been detected over time spans during which about 0.5°C of global warming occurred (medium confidence). This assessment is based on several lines of evidence, including attribution studies for changes in extremes since 1950. {3.3.1, 3.3.2, 3.3.3}

Just as a side note... This just in...

Airlines Issue Weather Waivers for 74 Airports Ahead of Massive Blizzard

We are entering peak winter storm season, and — right on schedule — the worst winter storm of the season is making its way across the US. Airlines have already started issuing wide-ranging change fee waivers to allow flexible travelers the opportunity to reschedule their flights to avoid the mess.

Now just imagine if the world actually was warming up 1.5 degrees C. That would mean if the outside temperature was 32 degrees F., with a 0.8 degree C. increase or 33.444 degrees F. more, it would be 66 degrees and no snow, but as see from this weather event, the cricket is full of shit along with the IPCC...Now we do know that the IPCC wants to steal money from Rich countries then give some to the poor countries and pocket all what is left of the billions of dollars in energy taxes. Are you part of the IPCC , you sure seem to be as crooked as they are...

Just cant get more stupid than a liberal, well maybe a female liberal can be more stupid...

Convert Units of Temperature - Celsius, Fahrenheit, Kelvin

Now just imagine if the world actually was warming up 1.5 degrees C. That would mean if the outside temperature was 32 degrees F., with a 0.8 degree C. increase or 33.444 degrees F. more, it would be 66 degrees and no snow,

Ummm…..a 0.8C increase from 32 degrees Fahrenheit would make the temperature 33.44 degrees Fahrenheit, not 66 degrees Fahrenheit.

either way, the temperature is above the freezing mark, yet this is going to be the worst winter storm of the season...

either way, the temperature is above the freezing mark

Yes, any time you add a positive number to the freezing point, the result will be above the freezing point.
If that's your criteria, 33.44F is identical to 66F.

When it comes to snow, what does the temperature have to be to have it fall?

Maybe in the future you shouldn't discuss math or numbers in your comments?

 

[Mikeoxenormous]

Just as a side note... This just in...

Airlines Issue Weather Waivers for 74 Airports Ahead of Massive Blizzard Now just imagine if the world actually was warming up 1.5 degrees C. That would mean if the outside temperature was 32 degrees F., with a 0.8 degree C. increase or 33.444 degrees F. more, it would be 66 degrees and no snow, but as see from this weather event, the cricket is full of shit along with the IPCC...Now we do know that the IPCC wants to steal money from Rich countries then give some to the poor countries and pocket all what is left of the billions of dollars in energy taxes. Are you part of the IPCC , you sure seem to be as crooked as they are...

Just cant get more stupid than a liberal, well maybe a female liberal can be more stupid...

Convert Units of Temperature - Celsius, Fahrenheit, Kelvin

Now just imagine if the world actually was warming up 1.5 degrees C. That would mean if the outside temperature was 32 degrees F., with a 0.8 degree C. increase or 33.444 degrees F. more, it would be 66 degrees and no snow,

Ummm…..a 0.8C increase from 32 degrees Fahrenheit would make the temperature 33.44 degrees Fahrenheit, not 66 degrees Fahrenheit.

either way, the temperature is above the freezing mark, yet this is going to be the worst winter storm of the season...

either way, the temperature is above the freezing mark

Yes, any time you add a positive number to the freezing point, the result will be above the freezing point.
If that's your criteria, 33.44F is identical to 66F.

When it comes to snow, what does the temperature have to be to have it fall?

Maybe in the future you shouldn't discuss math or numbers in your comments?

When it comes to snow, what does the temperature have to be to have it fall?

 

[CrusaderFrank]

That's great! What are the Chinese going to do about this?

They are still signatories to the Paris Climate Accord.

How China is Taking On Climate Change

So if they, as the leading CO2 emitter, don't have to do anything for 30 years, neither should we

 

[IanC]

hey Crick- here is the paper(s) I was talking about

Bjorn Stevens in the cross-fire

 

[Mikeoxenormous]

Just as a side note... This just in...

Airlines Issue Weather Waivers for 74 Airports Ahead of Massive Blizzard Now just imagine if the world actually was warming up 1.5 degrees C. That would mean if the outside temperature was 32 degrees F., with a 0.8 degree C. increase or 33.444 degrees F. more, it would be 66 degrees and no snow, but as see from this weather event, the cricket is full of shit along with the IPCC...Now we do know that the IPCC wants to steal money from Rich countries then give some to the poor countries and pocket all what is left of the billions of dollars in energy taxes. Are you part of the IPCC , you sure seem to be as crooked as they are...

Just cant get more stupid than a liberal, well maybe a female liberal can be more stupid...

Convert Units of Temperature - Celsius, Fahrenheit, Kelvin

Now just imagine if the world actually was warming up 1.5 degrees C. That would mean if the outside temperature was 32 degrees F., with a 0.8 degree C. increase or 33.444 degrees F. more, it would be 66 degrees and no snow,

Ummm…..a 0.8C increase from 32 degrees Fahrenheit would make the temperature 33.44 degrees Fahrenheit, not 66 degrees Fahrenheit.

either way, the temperature is above the freezing mark, yet this is going to be the worst winter storm of the season...

either way, the temperature is above the freezing mark

Yes, any time you add a positive number to the freezing point, the result will be above the freezing point.
If that's your criteria, 33.44F is identical to 66F.

When it comes to snow, what does the temperature have to be to have it fall?

Maybe in the future you shouldn't discuss math or numbers in your comments?

Brutally cold weather to follow blockbuster weekend snowstorm

Behind this heavy snowstorm, an Arctic blast will grip much of the eastern U.S.," said AccuWeather Meteorologist Brett Edwards. "This cold air from the Arctic will dive down into the central Plains on Saturday and shift through the Northeast on Sunday."

Where is this frigid air coming from if the world is warming up every year? Not one liberal can explain these record freeze numbers...

 

[Toddsterpatriot]

Now just imagine if the world actually was warming up 1.5 degrees C. That would mean if the outside temperature was 32 degrees F., with a 0.8 degree C. increase or 33.444 degrees F. more, it would be 66 degrees and no snow,

Ummm…..a 0.8C increase from 32 degrees Fahrenheit would make the temperature 33.44 degrees Fahrenheit, not 66 degrees Fahrenheit.

either way, the temperature is above the freezing mark, yet this is going to be the worst winter storm of the season...

either way, the temperature is above the freezing mark

Yes, any time you add a positive number to the freezing point, the result will be above the freezing point.
If that's your criteria, 33.44F is identical to 66F.

When it comes to snow, what does the temperature have to be to have it fall?

Maybe in the future you shouldn't discuss math or numbers in your comments?

When it comes to snow, what does the temperature have to be to have it fall?

Snow has nothing to do with your really bad math.

 

[Toddsterpatriot]

Now just imagine if the world actually was warming up 1.5 degrees C. That would mean if the outside temperature was 32 degrees F., with a 0.8 degree C. increase or 33.444 degrees F. more, it would be 66 degrees and no snow,

Ummm…..a 0.8C increase from 32 degrees Fahrenheit would make the temperature 33.44 degrees Fahrenheit, not 66 degrees Fahrenheit.

either way, the temperature is above the freezing mark, yet this is going to be the worst winter storm of the season...

either way, the temperature is above the freezing mark

Yes, any time you add a positive number to the freezing point, the result will be above the freezing point.
If that's your criteria, 33.44F is identical to 66F.

When it comes to snow, what does the temperature have to be to have it fall?

Maybe in the future you shouldn't discuss math or numbers in your comments?

Brutally cold weather to follow blockbuster weekend snowstorm

Behind this heavy snowstorm, an Arctic blast will grip much of the eastern U.S.," said AccuWeather Meteorologist Brett Edwards. "This cold air from the Arctic will dive down into the central Plains on Saturday and shift through the Northeast on Sunday."

Where is this frigid air coming from if the world is warming up every year? Not one liberal can explain these record freeze numbers...

Where is this frigid air coming from if the world is warming up every year?

Don't know, don't care.

Not one liberal can explain these record freeze numbers...

Sounds like a question for a liberal.

 

[CrusaderFrank]

Now just imagine if the world actually was warming up 1.5 degrees C. That would mean if the outside temperature was 32 degrees F., with a 0.8 degree C. increase or 33.444 degrees F. more, it would be 66 degrees and no snow,

Ummm…..a 0.8C increase from 32 degrees Fahrenheit would make the temperature 33.44 degrees Fahrenheit, not 66 degrees Fahrenheit.

either way, the temperature is above the freezing mark, yet this is going to be the worst winter storm of the season...

either way, the temperature is above the freezing mark

Yes, any time you add a positive number to the freezing point, the result will be above the freezing point.
If that's your criteria, 33.44F is identical to 66F.

When it comes to snow, what does the temperature have to be to have it fall?

Maybe in the future you shouldn't discuss math or numbers in your comments?

Brutally cold weather to follow blockbuster weekend snowstorm

Behind this heavy snowstorm, an Arctic blast will grip much of the eastern U.S.," said AccuWeather Meteorologist Brett Edwards. "This cold air from the Arctic will dive down into the central Plains on Saturday and shift through the Northeast on Sunday."

Where is this frigid air coming from if the world is warming up every year? Not one liberal can explain these record freeze numbers...

Well that's climate change for ya

 

[skookerasbil]

either way, the temperature is above the freezing mark, yet this is going to be the worst winter storm of the season...

either way, the temperature is above the freezing mark

Yes, any time you add a positive number to the freezing point, the result will be above the freezing point.
If that's your criteria, 33.44F is identical to 66F.

When it comes to snow, what does the temperature have to be to have it fall?

Maybe in the future you shouldn't discuss math or numbers in your comments?

Brutally cold weather to follow blockbuster weekend snowstorm

Behind this heavy snowstorm, an Arctic blast will grip much of the eastern U.S.," said AccuWeather Meteorologist Brett Edwards. "This cold air from the Arctic will dive down into the central Plains on Saturday and shift through the Northeast on Sunday."

Where is this frigid air coming from if the world is warming up every year? Not one liberal can explain these record freeze numbers...

Where is this frigid air coming from if the world is warming up every year?

Don't know, don't care.

Not one liberal can explain these record freeze numbers...

Sounds like a question for a liberal.

Lol....mega-snow/ice storm sweeping across the country followed by single digit temps in many states. Only mental cases think the people wont notice and be more concerned about the 1.5 degrees!!

 

[Toddsterpatriot]

either way, the temperature is above the freezing mark

Yes, any time you add a positive number to the freezing point, the result will be above the freezing point.
If that's your criteria, 33.44F is identical to 66F.

When it comes to snow, what does the temperature have to be to have it fall?

Maybe in the future you shouldn't discuss math or numbers in your comments?

Brutally cold weather to follow blockbuster weekend snowstorm

Behind this heavy snowstorm, an Arctic blast will grip much of the eastern U.S.," said AccuWeather Meteorologist Brett Edwards. "This cold air from the Arctic will dive down into the central Plains on Saturday and shift through the Northeast on Sunday."

Where is this frigid air coming from if the world is warming up every year? Not one liberal can explain these record freeze numbers...

Where is this frigid air coming from if the world is warming up every year?

Don't know, don't care.

Not one liberal can explain these record freeze numbers...

Sounds like a question for a liberal.

Lol....mega-snow/ice storm sweeping across the country followed by single digit temps in many states. Only mental cases think the people wont notice and be more concerned about the 1.5 degrees!!

Yeah, global warmers are a trip.

 

[Crick]

Not one liberal can explain these record freeze numbers...

I am a liberal and I will explain these record freeze numbers. Now you, as a relatively ignorant right winger, will find some way to simply insult me without dealing with my contentions at all.

The freeze in the US is due to Rossby waves in the jet stream creating what the news media like to call a polar vortex. This draws Arctic air down into the lower latitudes at typically six different longitudes and warm air up into the Arctic at the six intevening longitudes. The result of all this is no change whatsoever in the global average temperature. And the cause of these Rossby waves is a decrease in the temperature differential between the pole and the equator. This is caused by the dramatic warming of the Arctic region.

I have explained this to you a dozen times. Yet you all pretend as if you've never heard this. What is wrong with you all?

 

[Mikeoxenormous]

Not one liberal can explain these record freeze numbers...

I am a liberal and I will explain these record freeze numbers. Now you, as a relatively ignorant right winger, will find some way to simply insult me without dealing with my contentions at all.

The freeze in the US is due to Rossby waves in the jet stream creating what the news media like to call a polar vortex. This draws Arctic air down into the lower latitudes at typically six different longitudes and warm air up into the Arctic at the six intevening longitudes. The result of all this is no change whatsoever in the global average temperature. And the cause of these Rossby waves is a decrease in the temperature differential between the pole and the equator. This is caused by the dramatic warming of the Arctic region.

I have explained this to you a dozen times. Yet you all pretend as if you've never heard this. What is wrong with you all?

Back in the 1970s' we had plenty of Freezes, yet not once did the "scientists" I use that term loosely call those events Polar Vortex. It is only the most recent retards, who have taken the GW koolaid, that now has to explain a Freeze as other than a phenom that has occurred for many eons. And what is worse, idiots like you actually believe this shit. Oh, well, back to my slightly cool Florida weather were the temperature is 55 degrees and comfortable...

 

[skookerasbil]

Not one liberal can explain these record freeze numbers...

I am a liberal and I will explain these record freeze numbers. Now you, as a relatively ignorant right winger, will find some way to simply insult me without dealing with my contentions at all.

The freeze in the US is due to Rossby waves in the jet stream creating what the news media like to call a polar vortex. This draws Arctic air down into the lower latitudes at typically six different longitudes and warm air up into the Arctic at the six intevening longitudes. The result of all this is no change whatsoever in the global average temperature. And the cause of these Rossby waves is a decrease in the temperature differential between the pole and the equator. This is caused by the dramatic warming of the Arctic region.

I have explained this to you a dozen times. Yet you all pretend as if you've never heard this. What is wrong with you all?

And ummm.....so what? All of the goofball predictions by you knuckleheads could not possibly have fallen flatter in their face? So we see record highs and record lows.....like we've always seen. Its always. "Well....wait until you we see this happen!!!" But it never does....just calling a spade a spade.

Why do you think the public is so disinterested? Well I will tell you why.

Because they see the exact same shit on the boob and outside their window year, after year, after year, after year.....

Nobody is angst about this except those who tend the the hysterical and who are also deep, deep into the matrix.

What more evidence do we need to know that most people couldnt care less about the consensus. That will change only when something significant happens....said that 10 years ago in here and it still holds.

Doy

Might change s0n if we see a week of 115 degrees in NYC. Or Alaska in a heat wave of 70+ degrees for 3 weeks in January. Not a moment sooner. Even the dummies on the right have figured that out.

Every medical doctor says it's a shitty idea to shake hands during flu season. Only the hysterical types take that seriously. There's something called human behavior s0n. You should not have skipped out on those classes.

C'mon now.... wake the fuck up and smell the maple nut crunch

 

[skookerasbil]

Not one liberal can explain these record freeze numbers...

I am a liberal and I will explain these record freeze numbers. Now you, as a relatively ignorant right winger, will find some way to simply insult me without dealing with my contentions at all.

The freeze in the US is due to Rossby waves in the jet stream creating what the news media like to call a polar vortex. This draws Arctic air down into the lower latitudes at typically six different longitudes and warm air up into the Arctic at the six intevening longitudes. The result of all this is no change whatsoever in the global average temperature. And the cause of these Rossby waves is a decrease in the temperature differential between the pole and the equator. This is caused by the dramatic warming of the Arctic region.

I have explained this to you a dozen times. Yet you all pretend as if you've never heard this. What is wrong with you all?

Back in the 1970s' we had plenty of Freezes, yet not once did the "scientists" I use that term loosely call those events Polar Vortex. It is only the most recent retards, who have taken the GW koolaid, that now has to explain a Freeze as other than a phenom that has occurred for many eons. And what is worse, idiots like you actually believe this shit. Oh, well, back to my slightly cool Florida weather were the temperature is 55 degrees and comfortable...

Indeed, we have a portion of society that just naturally yields to any authority. Always accept the "official" report. Accepts any governmental consensus. Have stayed in their lane at every step in life going waaaaaaaay back. Anything outside the comfy zone is rejected....it perpetuates an omnipotent existence these folks so desperately seek. Dollar to a thousand stale donuts there is not a single AGW devotee who has ever once questioned the 9/11 report.

Thankfully for the rest of us, they are decidedly in the minority.....the social oddballs among us.

 

[SSDD]

Not one liberal can explain these record freeze numbers...

I am a liberal and I will explain these record freeze numbers. Now you, as a relatively ignorant right winger, will find some way to simply insult me without dealing with my contentions at all.

The freeze in the US is due to Rossby waves in the jet stream creating what the news media like to call a polar vortex. This draws Arctic air down into the lower latitudes at typically six different longitudes and warm air up into the Arctic at the six intevening longitudes. The result of all this is no change whatsoever in the global average temperature. And the cause of these Rossby waves is a decrease in the temperature differential between the pole and the equator. This is caused by the dramatic warming of the Arctic region.

I have explained this to you a dozen times. Yet you all pretend as if you've never heard this. What is wrong with you all?

And typical of your "explanations" they are based in models which as of yet, are inadequate to the task. You guys spew theory as if it were fact....little wonder you are easily fooled.

https://eprints.soton.ac.uk/207983/1/os-8-19-2012.pdf

The vertical structure of oceanic Rossby waves: a comparison of high-resolution model data to theoretical vertical structures

The longitudinal structure of the vertical profiles is not simple to explain. Similar patterns of deepening in the west are not seen in the density field of the model output, or the individual temperature and salinity fields. There is a slight shallowing of the pycnocline, thermocline and halocline in the east, however the scale of the variation is not compara- ble to that seen in the vertical profiles or at an equivalent depth. Nor does the structure reflect the bottom topography. The structures within the velocity fields also do not reflect the longitudinal structure. The case of this intense deepen- ing in the west is not only difficult to explain but is also not captured by any of the theoretical sections and examinations of hydrographic sections at similar latitudes also present no “real world” candidate for the cause of deepening. The use of un-validated model structures means it is unclear whether it is the theories or the model that is lacking in accurately describing the longitudinal structure.

 

[Billy_Bob]

The use of un-validated model structures means it is unclear whether it is the theories or the model that is lacking in accurately describing the longitudinal structure.

 

[SSDD]

The use of un-validated model structures means it is unclear whether it is the theories or the model that is lacking in accurately describing the longitudinal structure.

Like he says...it is good enough to fool him. It is little wonder that they are dupes, one and all...they all believe models are the gospel truth...

 

[Toddsterpatriot]

The use of un-validated model structures means it is unclear whether it is the theories or the model that is lacking in accurately describing the longitudinal structure.

Like he says...it is good enough to fool him. It is little wonder that they are dupes, one and all...they all believe models are the gospel truth...

Maybe you can help old Billy out?
You have any backup for his claim that photons are influenced by a magnetic field?
TIA!