global warming and agriculture

Discussion in 'Environment' started by Old Rocks, Mar 26, 2009.

  1. Old Rocks
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    Old Rocks Diamond Member

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    I took part in a program that did just that. That is, my computer took part in the program. The parameters that best predicted the weather of the last century failed to predict the degree of warming that we have experianced this century.

    Here is a site with some people making rather unequivocal predictions concerning the next decade.
    Climate Models and Global Climate Change, ProQuest Discovery Guides
     
  2. KittenKoder
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    KittenKoder Senior Member

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    The thing about all weather predictions ... they are predictions. Whether a computer is used or some other mathematics. Thing about predictions ... they are the chances of something occurring and are never better than 70% chance for weather, because weather is chaotic to us. There are so many variables and possible influences no one can know for certain what it will be. If they could then the meteorologists could tell you for certain, 100% of the time, what tomorrows weather would be, or even next weeks. But they can't. Ever notice, meteorologist is the only job you can be wrong more than 50% of the time and still keep your job?
     
  3. PoliticalChic
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    PoliticalChic Diamond Member

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    Good point.

    But in baseball you can "be wrong" 70% of the time and be an all-star!
     
  4. KittenKoder
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    KittenKoder Senior Member

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    Okay ... pooh ... I don't like sports so I didn't know that.
     
  5. Old Rocks
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    Old Rocks Diamond Member

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    Uh, Kitten, there have been rather unequivicol predictions here concerning cooling. These scientists are just as unequivicol in predicting that within this decade we will see more than one year exceeding 1998 or 2005.

    In other words, someone model will definately be proven wrong.
     

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