Giuliani 101: The blackboard lesson

[Gunny]

By Tom Curry
National affairs writer
MSNBC
updated 8 minutes ago

WASHINGTON - Let us say a sincere, “Thank you, Rudy Giuliani.”

The former New York City mayor, who dropped out of the presidential race Wednesday, has served as teacher in charge of the after-school remedial class for political junkies.

The lesson we never seem to learn: Early national polls do not matter.

Now let’s write that a hundred times on the blackboard: Early national polls do not matter.

From the first national surveys in early 2007, the former mayor, or “America’s mayor” as he was known in those days, was ahead of his rivals for the GOP nomination: A USA Today/Gallup poll in February 2007 had the race at Giuliani 44 percent to Sen. John McCain’s 20 percent.

Even as late as November 2007, an NBC News/Wall Street Journal national survey indicated that Giuliani was still the leader in the Republican race with 33 percent.

The only Republican to come close was McCain, with 16 percent.

more ... http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/22922966/

Been doing a little chuckling over this one myself. Goes to show what polls are worth.

 

[Helios]

That is precisely why Ron Paul is going to do something very surprising to very many people very soon. His campaign hasn't even started spending it's money.. what do you think is going to happen?

 

[Gunny]

That is precisely why Ron Paul is going to do something very surprising to very many people very soon. His campaign hasn't even started spending it's money.. what do you think is going to happen?

IMO, the best Ron Paul is going to do is take votes away from the GOP if he splits from it and runs as an independent. If he stays on the GOP ticket, he's just blowing money.

 

[Helios]

IMO, the best Ron Paul is going to do is take votes away from the GOP if he splits from it and runs as an independent. If he stays on the GOP ticket, he's just blowing money.

Why do you write him off so easily? He is the only candidate who believes what's coming out of his mouth, and you can tell because he always has an answer to every question in every debate. Whereas if you ask McCain something as challenging as his proposed economic policy... what do you get...? ............ uh... advisory committee?.... uh... friends?..... uh. What a bumbling fool. How could anyone in their right mind vote for a more militaristic but equally stupid version of Bush?

 

[jillian]

Been doing a little chuckling over this one myself. Goes to show what polls are worth.

Polls are a snapshot of a particular situation at a particular point in time. By polling at intervals, you can spot trends. No more, no less really.