GALLUP: Romney Up 51%-46%...

[paulitician]

Well, several Polls are now showing Romney hitting the crucial 50% mark, or surpassing it. That's a very good sign for him.

According to today’s Gallup tracking poll, Mitt Romney’s lead over incumbent President Barack Obama has stretched to a five point margin. Romney is now up among likely voters 51% to 46%. Yesterday, the tracking poll had Romney up by only three points, 50% to 47%.

The lead is broadening.

That’s no doubt due to President Obama’s insistence on going small with his campaign. From Big Bird to binders to bayonets to ads suggesting that voting for Obama is like losing your virginity, this campaign has minimized the issues the American people face. And it’s paying the price for it.

The trends are clearly against Barack Obama. It has been three weeks – the October 9, 2012, tracking poll – since Barack Obama was even tied with Romney. And after the final presidential debate, which liberals widely believed Barack Obama won, the polls have not shifted an inch overall.

Gallup: Romney Up 51%-46%

 

[Toronado3800]

I figured Obama would have a difficult time.

Not that Romney is trying real hard with the GW duplicate economic non plan but Obama is not a WASP and the recovery has been slow as WASPs wait for the government to build them a levee or new stadium of give them TIF money to start a new leg of their large business.

 

[Missourian]

So much for the desperate libs "Rommey's momentum has stopped" line.

 

[Mac1958]

.

I still only care about the swing states.

Obama's ahead still in Ohio and is also over 50% there. Are there models in which Romney can win the EC without Ohio?

.

 

[Mad Scientist]

"Swingin' on the Gallups poll!"

Zero is done. This Benghazi coverup is the final straw.

 

[Dont Taz Me Bro]

When this election is over either Gallup or Nate Silver is going to have a lot of egg on their face.

 

[CaféAuLait]

.

I still only care about the swing states.

Obama's ahead still in Ohio and is also over 50% there. Are there models in which Romney can win the EC without Ohio?

.

I saw one the other night which showed his not picking up Ohio but others states which are not swing but are turning purple/red.

 

[CaféAuLait]

When this election is over either Gallup or Nate Silver is going to have a lot of egg on their face.

Seems that waym yet Rasmussen has the same numbers today:

Swing State Tracking: Romney 51%, Obama 45%

Daily Swing State Tracking Poll - Rasmussen Reports™

Or am I an idiot and Rasmussen and Gallup the same?

 

[blackhawk]

Well, several Polls are now showing Romney hitting the crucial 50% mark, or surpassing it. That's a very good sign for him.

According to today’s Gallup tracking poll, Mitt Romney’s lead over incumbent President Barack Obama has stretched to a five point margin. Romney is now up among likely voters 51% to 46%. Yesterday, the tracking poll had Romney up by only three points, 50% to 47%.

The lead is broadening.

That’s no doubt due to President Obama’s insistence on going small with his campaign. From Big Bird to binders to bayonets to ads suggesting that voting for Obama is like losing your virginity, this campaign has minimized the issues the American people face. And it’s paying the price for it.

The trends are clearly against Barack Obama. It has been three weeks – the October 9, 2012, tracking poll – since Barack Obama was even tied with Romney. And after the final presidential debate, which liberals widely believed Barack Obama won, the polls have not shifted an inch overall.

Gallup: Romney Up 51%-46%

According to the left Nate Silver is now the only accurate poll out there.

 

[AceRothstein]

Whew, good thing winning the popular vote doesn't mean you win the election. You had me worried there for a second.

 

[mex]

.

I still only care about the swing states.

Obama's ahead still in Ohio and is also over 50% there. Are there models in which Romney can win the EC without Ohio?

.

It's a DEAD HEAT.

Ohio polls show Romney vs Obama are now in a dead heat - New York economy and politics | Examiner.com

Rassmussen has them tied... any other poll (HuffPost, CNN,CBS) can be discounted.

the obama camp ought to be worried... what were once political strongholds are now battlegrounds. Wisconsin, Virginia, Michigan, Penn, Ohio...

It's looking bad for The Annointed One.

 

[mex]

When this election is over either Gallup or Nate Silver is going to have a lot of egg on their face.

Rassmussen was spot on in '04 and '08. Their methodology is sound and they have no agenda.

 

[CaféAuLait]

Whew, good thing winning the popular vote doesn't mean you win the election. You had me worried there for a second.

Yet, Wisconsin, Iowa and Ohio are tied exactly and New Hampshire is now in Romney's column. And Nevada is now a virtual tie.

2012 Electoral College Scoreboard - Rasmussen Reports™

 

[AceRothstein]

When this election is over either Gallup or Nate Silver is going to have a lot of egg on their face.

Rassmussen was spot on in '04 and '08. Their methodology is sound and they have no agenda.

Rasmussen most definitely has an agenda, their polling often skews to the right. They were off in Ohio by 4 points in the wrong direction just 4 years ago.

 

[AceRothstein]

Whew, good thing winning the popular vote doesn't mean you win the election. You had me worried there for a second.

Yet, Wisconsin, Iowa and Ohio are tied exactly and New Hampshire is now in Romney's column. And Nevada is now a virtual tie.

2012 Electoral College Scoreboard - Rasmussen Reports™

If you cherry-pick a single poll from those states, you would be right. If you look at the polling averages, Obama is up in all of them.

 

[buckeye45_73]

.

I still only care about the swing states.

Obama's ahead still in Ohio and is also over 50% there. Are there models in which Romney can win the EC without Ohio?

.

He can but it wont be easy. He would need 2 of the following nv,wi,co,ia to make up for oh

 

[Amelia]

Colorado and Wisconsin seem gettable.

 

[CaféAuLait]

When this election is over either Gallup or Nate Silver is going to have a lot of egg on their face.

Rassmussen was spot on in '04 and '08. Their methodology is sound and they have no agenda.

Rasmussen most definitely has an agenda, their polling often skews to the right. They were off in Ohio by 4 points in the wrong direction just 4 years ago.

They had Obama up by 11 and he won by 7, OTOH Nate Silver/538 was off by 3. So what does that say?

 

[mex]

When this election is over either Gallup or Nate Silver is going to have a lot of egg on their face.

Rassmussen was spot on in '04 and '08. Their methodology is sound and they have no agenda.

Rasmussen most definitely has an agenda

Yeah, right.

This from the ultra-right wing wikipedia:

According to Politico, "Rasmussen’s final poll of the 2008 general election — showing Obama defeating Arizona Sen. John McCain 52 percent to 46 percent — closely mirrored the election’s outcome."[40] In reference to the 2008 presidential election, a Talking Points Memo article said, "Rasmussen's final polls had Obama ahead 52%-46%, which was nearly identical to Obama's final margin of 53%-46%, and made him one of the most accurate pollsters out there."[41] An initial Nov.5, 2008 Fordham University analysis ranked 23 survey research organizations on the accuracy of their final, national pre-election polls, assuming a 6.15% margin of victory by Obama. Rasmussen Reports and Pew Research Center tied as the most accurate.[42] Obama's actual margin was 7.2%, and a complete analysis published in 2009 by the same author, Costas Panagopoulos, revealed Rasmussen to be tied for 9th most accurate. Democracy Corps, Foxnews/Opinion Dynamic, CNN/Opinion Research, and Ipsos/McClatchy all predicted an accurate seven point spread.

 

[mamooth]

Meanwhile, the non-sucky polls -- meaning pretty much everyone except Ras and Gallup -- show Obama pulling away. It keeps getting harder for Republicans to cherrypick themselves into a lead. They now have to more or less discard every poll except the historically awful Ras and Gallup.