Frequency of strong Florida hurricanes decreased in last 600 years

bripat9643

Diamond Member
Apr 1, 2011
169,880
47,158
2,180
Frequency of strong Florida hurricanes decreased in last 600 years | Watts Up With That?

The next time some alarmist caterwauls about hurricanes becoming worse and more frequent due to global warming, show them this study.

fl_sinkhole1.jpg

Mullet Pond: a nearly circular, 200-m-diameter cover-collapse sinkhole located on Bald Point near Apalachee Bay, Florida from which the paleo data on hurricane frequency was obtained. Image: Google Earth

Noting that “the brief observational record is inadequate for characterizing natural variability in hurricane activity occurring on longer than multi-decadal timescales,” Lane et al. (2011) sought a means of characterizing hurricane activity prior to the period of modern measurement and historical record keeping, due to the fact that “the manner in which tropical cyclone activity and climate interact has critical implications for society and is not well understood.”

Specifically, Lane et al. developed a 4500-year record of intense hurricane-induced storm surges based on data obtained from “a nearly circular, 200-m-diameter cover-collapse sinkhole (Mullet Pond: 29°55.520′N, 84°20.275′W) that is located on Bald Point near Apalachee Bay, Florida, USA, where (1) “recent deposition of sand layers in the upper sediments of the pond was found to be contemporaneous with significant, historic storm surges at the site modeled using SLOSH and the Best Track, post-1851 AD dataset,” where (2) “paleohurricane deposits were identified by sand content and dated using radiocarbon-based age models,” and where (3) “marine-indicative foraminifera, some originating at least 5 km offshore, were present in several modern and ancient storm deposits.”

The four researchers’ reconstructed record of intense hurricanes revealed that the frequency of these “high-magnitude” events “peaked near 6 storms per century between 2800 and 2300 years ago.” Thereafter, it suggests that they were “relatively rare” with “about 0-3 storms per century occurring between 1900 and 1600 years ago,” after which they state that these super-storms exhibited a marked decline, which “began around 600 years ago” and has persisted through the present with “below average frequency over the last 150 years when compared to the preceding five millennia.”

It is instructive to note that over the past century and a half of ever-increasing fossil fuel utilization and atmospheric CO2 buildup, the frequency of the most intense category of hurricanes in the Northeastern Gulf of Mexico has been lower than it was over the prior five millennia, which speaks volumes about the climate-alarmist claim that continued anthropogenic CO2 emissions will lead to more frequent super cyclones and hurricanes.
 
No bites? It must suck to be obsessed with a topic no else on this board seems to give two shits about.
 
Yes, the Al Gores of the world will find this problematic.

Or should I say inconvenient ?
 
Frequency of strong Florida hurricanes decreased in last 600 years | Watts Up With That?

The next time some alarmist caterwauls about hurricanes becoming worse and more frequent due to global warming, show them this study.

fl_sinkhole1.jpg

Mullet Pond: a nearly circular, 200-m-diameter cover-collapse sinkhole located on Bald Point near Apalachee Bay, Florida from which the paleo data on hurricane frequency was obtained. Image: Google Earth

Noting that “the brief observational record is inadequate for characterizing natural variability in hurricane activity occurring on longer than multi-decadal timescales,” Lane et al. (2011) sought a means of characterizing hurricane activity prior to the period of modern measurement and historical record keeping, due to the fact that “the manner in which tropical cyclone activity and climate interact has critical implications for society and is not well understood.”

Specifically, Lane et al. developed a 4500-year record of intense hurricane-induced storm surges based on data obtained from “a nearly circular, 200-m-diameter cover-collapse sinkhole (Mullet Pond: 29°55.520′N, 84°20.275′W) that is located on Bald Point near Apalachee Bay, Florida, USA, where (1) “recent deposition of sand layers in the upper sediments of the pond was found to be contemporaneous with significant, historic storm surges at the site modeled using SLOSH and the Best Track, post-1851 AD dataset,” where (2) “paleohurricane deposits were identified by sand content and dated using radiocarbon-based age models,” and where (3) “marine-indicative foraminifera, some originating at least 5 km offshore, were present in several modern and ancient storm deposits.”

The four researchers’ reconstructed record of intense hurricanes revealed that the frequency of these “high-magnitude” events “peaked near 6 storms per century between 2800 and 2300 years ago.” Thereafter, it suggests that they were “relatively rare” with “about 0-3 storms per century occurring between 1900 and 1600 years ago,” after which they state that these super-storms exhibited a marked decline, which “began around 600 years ago” and has persisted through the present with “below average frequency over the last 150 years when compared to the preceding five millennia.”

It is instructive to note that over the past century and a half of ever-increasing fossil fuel utilization and atmospheric CO2 buildup, the frequency of the most intense category of hurricanes in the Northeastern Gulf of Mexico has been lower than it was over the prior five millennia, which speaks volumes about the climate-alarmist claim that continued anthropogenic CO2 emissions will lead to more frequent super cyclones and hurricanes.
GLOBAL WARMING!!! George Walker Bush!!!!!
That's all we need to say, says the liberal flock.
 
Frequency of strong Florida hurricanes decreased in last 600 years | Watts Up With That?

The next time some alarmist caterwauls about hurricanes becoming worse and more frequent due to global warming, show them this study.

fl_sinkhole1.jpg

Mullet Pond: a nearly circular, 200-m-diameter cover-collapse sinkhole located on Bald Point near Apalachee Bay, Florida from which the paleo data on hurricane frequency was obtained. Image: Google Earth

Noting that “the brief observational record is inadequate for characterizing natural variability in hurricane activity occurring on longer than multi-decadal timescales,” Lane et al. (2011) sought a means of characterizing hurricane activity prior to the period of modern measurement and historical record keeping, due to the fact that “the manner in which tropical cyclone activity and climate interact has critical implications for society and is not well understood.”

Specifically, Lane et al. developed a 4500-year record of intense hurricane-induced storm surges based on data obtained from “a nearly circular, 200-m-diameter cover-collapse sinkhole (Mullet Pond: 29°55.520′N, 84°20.275′W) that is located on Bald Point near Apalachee Bay, Florida, USA, where (1) “recent deposition of sand layers in the upper sediments of the pond was found to be contemporaneous with significant, historic storm surges at the site modeled using SLOSH and the Best Track, post-1851 AD dataset,” where (2) “paleohurricane deposits were identified by sand content and dated using radiocarbon-based age models,” and where (3) “marine-indicative foraminifera, some originating at least 5 km offshore, were present in several modern and ancient storm deposits.”

The four researchers’ reconstructed record of intense hurricanes revealed that the frequency of these “high-magnitude” events “peaked near 6 storms per century between 2800 and 2300 years ago.” Thereafter, it suggests that they were “relatively rare” with “about 0-3 storms per century occurring between 1900 and 1600 years ago,” after which they state that these super-storms exhibited a marked decline, which “began around 600 years ago” and has persisted through the present with “below average frequency over the last 150 years when compared to the preceding five millennia.”

It is instructive to note that over the past century and a half of ever-increasing fossil fuel utilization and atmospheric CO2 buildup, the frequency of the most intense category of hurricanes in the Northeastern Gulf of Mexico has been lower than it was over the prior five millennia, which speaks volumes about the climate-alarmist claim that continued anthropogenic CO2 emissions will lead to more frequent super cyclones and hurricanes.

Let me see.....I live in CA....

Sorry.....not giving a shit.
 
Let me see.....I live in CA....

Sorry.....not giving a shit.

Don't you care that your state government is spending billions to control a problem that you don't give a shit about?
 
Well somebody gave some $%^&.

I'd like to see Al Gore eat some of his own.
 
Frequency of strong Florida hurricanes decreased in last 600 years | Watts Up With That?

The next time some alarmist caterwauls about hurricanes becoming worse and more frequent due to global warming, show them this study.

fl_sinkhole1.jpg

Mullet Pond: a nearly circular, 200-m-diameter cover-collapse sinkhole located on Bald Point near Apalachee Bay, Florida from which the paleo data on hurricane frequency was obtained. Image: Google Earth

Noting that “the brief observational record is inadequate for characterizing natural variability in hurricane activity occurring on longer than multi-decadal timescales,” Lane et al. (2011) sought a means of characterizing hurricane activity prior to the period of modern measurement and historical record keeping, due to the fact that “the manner in which tropical cyclone activity and climate interact has critical implications for society and is not well understood.”

Specifically, Lane et al. developed a 4500-year record of intense hurricane-induced storm surges based on data obtained from “a nearly circular, 200-m-diameter cover-collapse sinkhole (Mullet Pond: 29°55.520′N, 84°20.275′W) that is located on Bald Point near Apalachee Bay, Florida, USA, where (1) “recent deposition of sand layers in the upper sediments of the pond was found to be contemporaneous with significant, historic storm surges at the site modeled using SLOSH and the Best Track, post-1851 AD dataset,” where (2) “paleohurricane deposits were identified by sand content and dated using radiocarbon-based age models,” and where (3) “marine-indicative foraminifera, some originating at least 5 km offshore, were present in several modern and ancient storm deposits.”

The four researchers’ reconstructed record of intense hurricanes revealed that the frequency of these “high-magnitude” events “peaked near 6 storms per century between 2800 and 2300 years ago.” Thereafter, it suggests that they were “relatively rare” with “about 0-3 storms per century occurring between 1900 and 1600 years ago,” after which they state that these super-storms exhibited a marked decline, which “began around 600 years ago” and has persisted through the present with “below average frequency over the last 150 years when compared to the preceding five millennia.”

It is instructive to note that over the past century and a half of ever-increasing fossil fuel utilization and atmospheric CO2 buildup, the frequency of the most intense category of hurricanes in the Northeastern Gulf of Mexico has been lower than it was over the prior five millennia, which speaks volumes about the climate-alarmist claim that continued anthropogenic CO2 emissions will lead to more frequent super cyclones and hurricanes.

Hello Bripat,

What do Hurricanes have to do with global warming? Temperature or pressure differences drive them, right, not just temperature?

Are you claiming they are or are not drawn to urban heat islands or something like that?

Thanks man. Have a good weekend.
 
Frequency of strong Florida hurricanes decreased in last 600 years | Watts Up With That?

The next time some alarmist caterwauls about hurricanes becoming worse and more frequent due to global warming, show them this study.

fl_sinkhole1.jpg

Mullet Pond: a nearly circular, 200-m-diameter cover-collapse sinkhole located on Bald Point near Apalachee Bay, Florida from which the paleo data on hurricane frequency was obtained. Image: Google Earth

Noting that “the brief observational record is inadequate for characterizing natural variability in hurricane activity occurring on longer than multi-decadal timescales,” Lane et al. (2011) sought a means of characterizing hurricane activity prior to the period of modern measurement and historical record keeping, due to the fact that “the manner in which tropical cyclone activity and climate interact has critical implications for society and is not well understood.”

Specifically, Lane et al. developed a 4500-year record of intense hurricane-induced storm surges based on data obtained from “a nearly circular, 200-m-diameter cover-collapse sinkhole (Mullet Pond: 29°55.520′N, 84°20.275′W) that is located on Bald Point near Apalachee Bay, Florida, USA, where (1) “recent deposition of sand layers in the upper sediments of the pond was found to be contemporaneous with significant, historic storm surges at the site modeled using SLOSH and the Best Track, post-1851 AD dataset,” where (2) “paleohurricane deposits were identified by sand content and dated using radiocarbon-based age models,” and where (3) “marine-indicative foraminifera, some originating at least 5 km offshore, were present in several modern and ancient storm deposits.”

The four researchers’ reconstructed record of intense hurricanes revealed that the frequency of these “high-magnitude” events “peaked near 6 storms per century between 2800 and 2300 years ago.” Thereafter, it suggests that they were “relatively rare” with “about 0-3 storms per century occurring between 1900 and 1600 years ago,” after which they state that these super-storms exhibited a marked decline, which “began around 600 years ago” and has persisted through the present with “below average frequency over the last 150 years when compared to the preceding five millennia.”

It is instructive to note that over the past century and a half of ever-increasing fossil fuel utilization and atmospheric CO2 buildup, the frequency of the most intense category of hurricanes in the Northeastern Gulf of Mexico has been lower than it was over the prior five millennia, which speaks volumes about the climate-alarmist claim that continued anthropogenic CO2 emissions will lead to more frequent super cyclones and hurricanes.

Hello Bripat,

What do Hurricanes have to do with global warming? Temperature or pressure differences drive them, right, not just temperature?

Are you claiming they are or are not drawn to urban heat islands or something like that?

Thanks man. Have a good weekend.





One of the tens of millions things the alarmists claim global warming is responsible for is increased storms and more powerful storms. This study, and many like it, show that those claims are (as with everything else that is actually checked) false.
 
Hello again Westwall.

I cropped a few SR-71 shots and had a T-shirt made since we last talked. Came out just a little cheezy but when I was at Wright Patterson no one had a matching one on at least lol.

Back to the topic. Ah yes. And we will be out of ice entirely in three years too. You have to watch out for the alarmists from all camps. I wish we could send Al Gore out to speak for PETA or the Taliban.

In the horticulture world we were just chewing on the new USDA hardiness zone map. I just can't see the global warming conspiracy running that deep to involve Acer Palmatum enthusiasts. If their darned fu-fu pink leafed trees were dying they would figure it out.

Two links to more or less the same thing.

2012 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map - Trees Forum - GardenWeb

USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map

Plus all that greenhouse gas in a fish tank stuff we went round and round about before.

But yeah, I agree. The alarmists give any cause a bad rap.
 

Forum List

Back
Top