- Aug 27, 2008
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what is the end of a business cycle for some is a philosophical vindication for others. dissenters could easily point to the same crisis and argue that lax regulation of futures and lending standards precipitated the 'meltdown'.
any credibility outside the jaded blame-game the crisis has become?
And yet you yourself mentioned that the most successful countries in the world today are mixed economies with regulation, with high taxation, etc... So, in my opinion, you can't have it both ways. Either the global economic system was brought to its knees by rampant laissez-faire policies, or your most successful countries are mixed economies.
However, it's really how you see things. Maybe you can accept that the economy was highly regulated, but you think it needed more regulation. Or, and this is my perspective, maybe you saw the entire system as being completely unsustainable in the long run. It's all how you interpret the facts.
i actually pointed out three ways of looking at the situation. i'm of the opinion that the crisis is an overdue correction typical of the business cycle. i contend that the gravity of the situation is because the correction was centered on financial services. any hit on this sector is tougher than the average because of its leverage... the ol' tip of the iceberg. also, the interdependence of all other industries on this sector can be a drag, potentially of staflationary proportions. this was not the case with the dot-com bust. at the time the internet was peripheral to the wider economy.
other folks have taken to a tug of war which makes the correction which i feel is central to the situation seem as if its not a factor at all -- that it must be over or under regulation of the market, and i just think that's philosophical opportunism for the most part. this is, however, not to entirely downplay the role that regs or the lack thereof might have played. i just dont think that issue is central to the fact.
Well the free market economists don't see the problem as only having been too much regulation. That's certainly a problem, and one that has held our economy back, but not the main problem. The main problem is keeping interest rates artificially low, which is the cause of the business cycle in the first place. This creates a bubble that is eventually going to pop.