For those that analyze data

Discussion in 'Congress' started by CrimsonWhite, Sep 15, 2008.

  1. CrimsonWhite
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    CrimsonWhite *****istrator Emeritus Supporting Member

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    RealClearPolitics - Electoral Count

    Canbody tell me what this seems to says? It says that those "toss-up states" are beginning to shift in McCain's favor. The national average can say what it wants, but this what counts.
     
    Last edited: Sep 15, 2008
  2. RetiredGySgt
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    RetiredGySgt Platinum Member

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    It says anyone can win. But currently in the decided and favored numbers McCain is ahead. With 104 votes undecided that means almost nothing.
     
  3. CrimsonWhite
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    CrimsonWhite *****istrator Emeritus Supporting Member

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    You're looking at the wrong data. Look at the changes in individual states over the last three months.
     
  4. DiamondDave
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    DiamondDave Army Vet

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    And the fact that it is still based on polls... it means nothing more than a different trend amongst the few that were polled

    I believe McCain has made strides and is doing better in terms of gaining votes... but I really don't know and we won't know until the only poll that counts
     
  5. Silence
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    Silence wanna lick?

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    well in order to get a clear picture you should probably look at how each state has voted historically speaking....

    of the toss up states it goes as follows:

    (9) CO 3 out of the last 4 elections went Repub
    (10) MN 4 out of 4 went Dem
    (5) NM 3 out of 4 went Dem
    (20) OH 50/50 split
    (13) VA 4 out of 4 went Repub
    (7) MI 4 out of 4 Dem
    (4) NH 3 out of 4 went Dem
    (4) NV 50/50 split
    (21) PA 4 out of 4 went Dem


    So that means that out of those toss up states on ONE has gone Republican every time in the last four elections and that state is VA....

    it stands to reason that states which historically lean one way or another, will continue to lean that way regardless of what these temporary polls show.

    Electoral-vote.com: President, Senate, House Updated Daily

    source for previous election information
     

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