For the 1st Time Since GOP Convention

Discussion in 'Congress' started by SwingVoter, Sep 17, 2008.

  1. SwingVoter
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    SwingVoter VIP Member

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    Obama's leading the Intrade prediction market 50-48, Mac's had the lead last couple weeks.

    Also, on the RCP no toss up map, Virginia has flipped to Obama, giving him a 286-252 lead in projected EVs.
     
  2. DiamondDave
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    DiamondDave Army Vet

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    An it will change constantly and be inaccurate the entire time... because polls, by nature, are not going to tell the whole story...

    But both sides have sheep that like to spout them off like fact or the freakin' Bible itself....

    1 poll counts people.. and only one poll.. and we have a WAYS until that is done
     
  3. SwingVoter
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    SwingVoter VIP Member

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    Intrade's not a poll, it's people placing bets on who will win.
     
  4. sealybobo
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    sealybobo Diamond Member

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    Really?

    I also heard this last night. Palin lost 10 points on favorability chart.

    http://www.diageohotlinepoll.com/Tracker/Diageo Hotline Tracker release - 09 05 final.pdf



    Four days later, Palin's approval rating had climbed to 47 percent (+17), and by Sept. 13 it had hit 52 percent. The gap at that point between her favorable and unfavorable numbers--22 percent--was larger than either McCain's (+20) or Obama's (+13).

    But then a funny thing happened: Palin seems to have lost some of her luster. Since Sept. 13, Palin's unfavorables have climbed from 30 percent to 36 percent. Meanwhile, her favorables have slipped from 52 percent to 48 percent. That's a three-day net swing of -10 points, and it leaves her in the Sept. 15 Diageo/Hotline tracking poll tied for the smallest favorability split (+12)** of any of the Final Four.
     
  5. RetiredGySgt
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    RetiredGySgt Platinum Member

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    Ya cause that is ALWAYS right. Tell us what was the bet that Kerry would win? Or that Gore was gonna win? How about the bet that in 2002 the Congress would flip to democrats?
     
  6. dilloduck
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    dilloduck Diamond Member

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    exactly--and how fast do those numbers change as race time approaches ? Right now they are meaningless. Utter nonsense for the entertainment for political voyeurs.
     
  7. Ninja
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    Ninja Senior Member

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    Numbers close = Obama's toas'
     
  8. Ninja
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    Ninja Senior Member

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    Neck and neck = Wilder effec' :eusa_dance:
     
  9. Caligirl
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    Caligirl Oh yes it is too!

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    Just a short trip down memory lane.

    And what ever happened to Ninja?
     
  10. Modbert
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    Modbert Daydream Believer Supporting Member

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    Good question, whatever did happen to Ninja?

    I noticed the amount of neg reps I have received is much less now. :lol:
     
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