RCP Twitter - @fivethirtyeight - GOP turnout in Florida will likely be just under 1.7m tonight, down from 1.95m in 2008. - 12/31/69. Consider that. Except for SC (where Newt won) turnout in GOP primaries have been down in every state. Keep in mind, the Romney winning math is (Everyone who voted for McCain) + (10% of Obama's vote switching side). This number indicates he isn't likely to acheive either. People are just giving up. Not only is no one switching sides, a lot of Republicans who got excited in 2008 aren't even bothering to show up in 2012.