Flashback: Rasmussen Most Accurate Pollster in 2008

Discussion in 'Politics' started by bripat9643, Sep 28, 2012.

  1. bripat9643
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    bripat9643 Diamond Member

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    Flashback: Rasmussen Most Accurate Pollster in 2008

    In July, I started to notice something funky about the media polls. Almost all of them were using polling samples that assumed a dramatic increase in Democrat turnout over 2008. Even though the liberal group Third Way had found that Democrats lost around 1 million voters in 8 battleground states, media polls were implying an even bigger Democrat wave this year. It doesn't make sense.


    <snip>

    A look at other media polls' performance in 08 is especially illuminating, given the current questions surrounding their polls.

    NBC/WSJ C
    Marist D
    ABC/WaP0 D+
    Gallup D
    CBS/NYT D-
    Reuters F

    So, if these polls were so off-the-mark in 2008, why should I pay attention to them now? It isn't surprising that the worst-performing polls from '08 all show Obama with a comfortable lead. The best-performing poll from 08 shows the race tied.

    Forum copyright policy, to be found HERE, prohibits posting of pieces in their entirety.

    ~Oddball
     
  2. del
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    del BANNED

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    bripat deals with romney's imminent loss

    [​IMG]
     
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  3. RDD_1210
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    RDD_1210 Forms his own opinions

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  4. Jarhead
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    Jarhead Gold Member

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    Obama IS leading....

    No one is denying that.

    But leading by 10 points?

    I highly doubt it.
     
  5. MarcATL
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    MarcATL Gold Member

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    :clap2: :clap2: :clap2:
     
  6. Misty
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    Misty Gold Member

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    I remember when the exit polls had Kerry winning and liberals were already celebrating but in the end Bush won that election.

    The only poll that really counts is the one in November.

    Romney does need to step up his game though. He has 2 big disadvantages.

    1. The media
    2. Obama is an incumbent.
     
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  7. RDD_1210
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    RDD_1210 Forms his own opinions

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    You should try reading the forums some time. You'd swear Romney was ahead according to some people on this site.
     
  8. Rambunctious
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    Rambunctious Gold Member

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    Romney has the independents 49 - 21 largest percentage of independents supporting a Republican since Reagan...don't count those chickens yet. 1st debate next week, whats Obama goning to say? ahhh ahhh I killed Bin Ladin...and ahhh ahhh you didn't...
     
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  9. LoneLaugher
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    LoneLaugher Diamond Member

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    Please prove that the media is a disadvantage for Romney. You know how to prove something, don't you? It is what you are asked to do when you make a bullshit claim.
     
  10. nodoginnafight
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    nodoginnafight No Party Affiliation

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    A nonpartisan statistical approach to Rasmussen data

    In 2008 Rassmussen ranked 6th in national election polling. In the 2008 state polls, they sucked big time. In 2010 they lost all credibility.

    It would be impossible for a good polling organization to over-estimate support for a Republican senate candidate by 40 POINTS
     

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