http://www.cnn.com/election/2012/ecalculator#?battleground If you believe the map then Obama has 247 locked up and Romney 206 and there are 85 up for grabs! I would say WI and MI are up for grabs, but CNN wants to already put them in the Obama win column. Nevertheless, here is how I think Romney wins. (1) CO & NV - Obama takes these liberal majority states, esp because he is selling out to the illegal immigrant support groups. O:262 - R:206 (2) FL - After Rubio is selected, it all but assures FL. O:262 - R:235. (3) NH - He is favorite there. Small win. O: 262 - R:239 (4) VA - It's an insult to our intelligence they put this as a toss-up this is in the Romney bag. O:262 - R:252 (5) OH - The state the wins and losses elections. Always the most important. The HORRENDOUS economy and Obama's war on small business will sink Obama in industrial OH. O: 262 - R:270 (6) IW - Obama pulls off IW. O:268 - R:270 (7) NM: Not the end - Obama loses the leaning Obama state of NM (Wait until Susan Martinez starts to REALLY campaign for Romney, they love her and she loves Romney - Rubio on the ticket will also be a HUGE plus). O: 263 - R:275 (8) WI: Obama loses the leaning Obama state of WI. Gov Walker won TWO decisive STATE wide elections, even with the COUNTRYWIDE mobilization, propaganda and MONEY, yet the most conservative senator in the country WON. That victory will lead to a Romney upset! O:253 - R:285 (9) Romney holds onto his right leaning states of AZ (BS CNN pulls that as Romney leaning its in the bag for Romney), MO, IN and NC (NC is the biggest threat, but not really)! Results: Romney victory with 285!!!