Egypt: Taps followed by a revielle

[shock]

EGYPT: TAPS FOLLOWED BY A REVIELLE

ASIA TIMES
September 25, 2012

"Egypt's Morsi resets ties with US
Washington has been in a muddle over whether post-Mubarak Egypt is a "friend". President Mohamed Morsi has cleared up the confusion: still friends, but no longer in the sense of a tail-wagging poodle. With the region's biggest Sunni country - Egypt - now holding hands with the biggest Shi'ite one - Iran - on seeking solutions to such problems as Syria, the political/secular map of the Middle East, up to now dominated by Saudi Arabia, is being completely redrawn. - M K Bhadrakumar (Sep 24, '12)"
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SHOCKLEY

The game is over and we have lost it
and so has the GCC.

We can, and eventually will, withdraw.

Israel may be able to do so
and should do so if, as, and when
she can.

 

[waltky]

No change in Egypt could be the lull before the storm...

Why a feeling of 'no change' in Egypt may be ominous
28 September 2012 - A near continuous belt of real estate developments, resorts and marinas stretches along the Mediterranean coast for at least one hundred miles to the west of the Egyptian port city of Alexandria.

The scale of it is staggering: tens of thousands of apartments were bought here during the better economic times of the late Nineties and early 2000s, tens of thousands remain unsold, and in other places as you drive further along this Riviera, the outlines of new gated developments have been laid out but the ground remained unbroken as money and consumer confidence dried up. These stalled developments - and many other similar property developments from the Red Sea coast to Cairo - tell of a country that has yet to recover momentum after the tumult of the 2011 revolution and this year's election of Mohammed Mursi as Egypt's new president. As Dr Mursi reaches the end of his first 100 days in office, how confident do people feel that better times may be here?

Over the past few days I've been driving about this coastal area with a team making a BBC historical documentary. Our business has concerned Alamein, Monty and Rommel, but since I've been chatting with people all along the way who were speaking off camera and candidly, I shall refer to them only by first name. "Morsi promised us milk and honey," Amer told me, "but where is it?" A portly import-export man, Amer does not like the Muslim Brotherhood, which backed Dr Mursi's presidential bid and now provides most of his ministers and advisers. He believes that Egypt will not make serious progress until the country has a centrist alternative that is neither military nor Islamist.

Political paralysis

Supporters of the new president argue that he will not gain serious traction until after a new constitution has been written, the people ratified it by referendum, and then a fresh parliament has been elected. He does not intend to usurp the powers of others, particularly parliament, they say. Critics say this means there will be another 18 months of political paralysis that the country, and its economy in particular can ill afford. There is a new freshwater canal that stretches along a few miles inland from this Mediterranean coast, bringing water from the Nile. A short stretch of it, closest to Alexandria, is not operating but for much of its length it is dry. Magdi, a local lorry driver, tells me it is a scandal that much of the canal is not operating when it could be making the desert bloom. He claimed the reason it has not happened is that "the army wants to sell us water". He told me where the army has some mineral water bottling plants nearby - a part of the large industrial complex that the defence ministry operates here.

Whether or not Magdi's explanation holds more water than the canal isn't clear but what it testifies to is the average Egyptian's fondness for conspiracies as well as resignation to the self-interested workings of officialdom. Certainly there are many movers and shakers in Cairo who would endorse his assessment that the revolution has not yet really challenged the vested interests of the "deep state" including the army. This "no change" verdict can be applied to other areas too following the Brotherhood's apparent victory in its long march to power. The vibe in these coastal resorts, and indeed the bars or clubs of downtown Alexandria, remains unchanged from the Mubarak days.

No change