Early vote live thread

[ScienceRocks]

Nate Cohn ‏@Nate_Cohn
Florida's registered voters, now final:
2016: White 64.2, Hispanic 15.7, Black 13.4
2012: White 66.5, Hispanic 13.9, Black 13.6

Huge Hispanic turnout!!!! Bad news for Trump!


Dems won Washoe County by 20 votes today (just in-person early vote)

2016 General Election Early Voting/Absentee Turnout Reports

Jon Ralston ‏@RalstonReports 13m
Democrats won narrowly in Washoe today, keep about a 2,400-vote lead in slightly GOP county.
Dem - 2,802
GOP - 2,782

 

[ScienceRocks]

FLORIDA

Early voter crosstabs from latest Emerson FL poll, where 257 of 500 LV (51.5%) have already voted early (direct link to spreadsheet: http://media.wix.com/ugd/3bebb2_7c02a7a6c87348b2a4f30b6d468eb94f.xlsx?dn=ECP_FL_10.27.xlsx):

Clinton 57%
Trump 42%
Johnson 0.4%
Stein 0.4%

Murphy 58%
Rubio 37%
Other 4.7%

Party ID
Democrat 42%
Republican 26%
Independent 32%

Wow, did not expect Rubio to be running behind Trump in the Early vote!

 

[ScienceRocks]

Total number of ballots cast in all reporting jurisdictions: 20,820,741 votes so far making up 45.0% of the 2012 early vote.

 

[ScienceRocks]

NEVADA

Early voter crosstabs from latest Emerson NV poll, where 237 of 550 LV (43%) have already voted early (direct link to spreadsheet: http://media.wix.com/ugd/3bebb2_6087a7fc8d43488e91a0600e8ee04883.xlsx?dn=ECP_NV_10.27.xlsx):

Clinton 49%
Trump 32%
Johnson 2.5%

Cortez-Mastro 49%
Heck 42%
Other 1.3%

Party ID
Democrat 47%
Republican 33%
Independent 20%

 

[ScienceRocks]

Here are the breakdowns for the early voters in each of these four pols

FL: Clinton - 57, Trump - 42, Johnson - 0.4, Stein - 0.4 (based on 257 of 500 LV = 51%)

NC: Clinton - 59, Trump - 37, Johnson - 0.4 (based on 209 of 650 LV = 32%)

NV: Clinton - 49, Trump - 32, Johnson - 2.5 (based on 237 of 550 LV = 43%)

OH: Clinton - 59, Trump - 35, Johnson - 0, Stein - 0 (based on 223 of 800 LV = 28%)

 

[ScienceRocks]

Kyle Griffin on Twitter: Out of 12 battlegrounds, DEM early/absentee voters outpacing GOP in 8: CO, IA, MI, NC, NV, OH, VA, WI —NBC analysis of TargetSmart data.

Link: Kyle Griffin on Twitter

 

[tommagee33]

Scandal Fatigue = Clinton Fatigue. Time to vote for Trump.

 

[ScienceRocks]

Jon Ralston ‏2m ago

Dems won Clark by 4,000 today.

Dems – 14226

GOP – 10015

NP – 6829

About like 2012

Dems up about 44.000 in Clark now.

 

[longknife]

Matthey, we appreciate your efforts - but not the selective way you try to show Shrillary winning. Why don't you just show the votes by party. You have no way of knowing just how many crossover voters there are.

And, are these ALL the states with early voting? Or just the ones where you think Shrillary is winning?