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GRIM WARNING: The 17-country eurozone risks falling into a severe recession, the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development warned as it called on governments and Europes central bank to keep the slowdown from dragging down the global economy.
THE FORECAST: OECD Chief Economist Pier Carlo Padoan warned the eurozone economy could contract by as much as 2 percent this year, a figure that the Paris-based organization had laid out as its worst-case scenario in November.
They need more stimulative big Daddy government spending...either that or another world war
Activity at European businesses hit a near three-year low in May, according to a survey by Markit. Its index, based on a survey of purchasing managers in the manufacturing and service sector, fell to 45.9 in May, a 35-month low. In response, the euro fell to $1.2515 against the dollar, a 22-month low. A summit of European leaders on Wednesday evening failed to boost confidence, as leaders disagreed over how to tackle the crisis. French President Francois Hollande pushed for pan-European bonds, that would allow struggling nations to raise money at much lower interest rates. But Germany says it will oppose such a scheme until there is more budget discipline across Europe. The political crisis in Greece was also under discussion.
EU leaders said they wanted Greece to remain in the eurozone, but European Council President Herman Van Rompuy said it should "respect its commitments". Thursday's economic reports show that concerns over Greece are having a broader economic impact, according to economists. Markit's chief economist, Chris Williamson, said his firm's research indicated that the European downturn "gathered further momentum in May". "The survey is broadly consistent with gross domestic product falling by at least 0.5% across the region in the second quarter, as an increasingly steep downturn in the periphery infects both France and Germany," he said in the report. Activity at French and German factories fell to the lowest level in almost three years, according to the Markit survey.
'Not good'
"The flash PMI figures for May look horrible and provide a clear warning that eurozone GDP will almost certainly show a contraction in the second quarter after stagnating in the first quarter," said Martin Van Vliet, from the bank ING. "It's not good," said Peter Dixon from Commerzbank. "The German ones were particularly disappointing, as we had been expecting some more buoyancy. "It clearly indicates that the evaporating sentiment that we have seen in recent weeks, as the Greece crisis has intensified, is having a big impact on the economy."
A separate report from Germany's Ifo showed that business confidence fell sharply in Germany in May. The Ifo business climate index, which is based on a survey of 7,000 executives, fell to 106.9 in May, down from 109.9 in April. Investors have been seeking the safety of German and UK government bonds. Prices of these bonds rose, driving interest rates on 10-year UK and German government debt to record lows.
BBC News - European business activity falls to near three-year low
They need more stimulative big Daddy government spending...either that or another world war
Only when they try German style austerity will they recover. Germany doesn't want to bailout profligate Europe with the money they saved through austerity, which makes perfect sense, while Europe wants to keep borrowing German savings so they don't have to endure any austerity. I hope Germany sticks it to the liberal profligates.
--- Like we didn't already guess that.
News Summary: OECD warns risk rising for severe recession in 17-country eurozone - The Washington Post
GRIM WARNING: The 17-country eurozone risks falling into a severe recession, the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development warned as it called on governments and Europes central bank to keep the slowdown from dragging down the global economy.
THE FORECAST: OECD Chief Economist Pier Carlo Padoan warned the eurozone economy could contract by as much as 2 percent this year, a figure that the Paris-based organization had laid out as its worst-case scenario in November.
