- Nov 26, 2011
- 123,496
- 53,571
- 2,290
The election will be decided by how many Democratic voters Obama discourages enough to make them stay home vs. how many GOP voters Romney discourages enough to make them stay home.
I want to quote a part of the OP link and then give my take on what it means:
Considering how downtrodden the GOP was in 2008 because of the economic crash, meeting those same registration goals isn't really that high a benchmark to achieve.
The converse is true for the Democrats. There was an astronomical swelling of Obama worship in 2008 on the blue side of the page. Meeting that benchmark is going to be very difficult, especially since the hardcore lefties feel betrayed by Obama. He just isn't the ultra-commie Rush and Hannity promised he would be. But not for lack of trying! The lack of socialistic achievements is more a testament to his incompetence than his philosophical bent. He rode the messianic wave long enough to get ObamaCare and then fizzled out.
What is interesting is the rise in independents. I have long felt this country is ripe for a new major party. My back of the envelope estimation is that half of all Americans would jump on board a new viable moderate party in a heartbeat. They are just waiting for one to come along.
The battle of 2012 between Romney and Obama is going to be for the hearts and minds of those independents.
The idealogues have been infected with brain eating bacteria. They are very nearly immaterial.
I want to quote a part of the OP link and then give my take on what it means:
A new report on voter registration trends finds that Democratic voter registration is down by more than 800,000 since 2008 in eight key battleground states.
GOP registration has also declined but by only 79,000, a tenth of the Democrats losses.
Meanwhile, registered independents are on the rise, increasing their numbers in those states by nearly half-a-million.
Considering how downtrodden the GOP was in 2008 because of the economic crash, meeting those same registration goals isn't really that high a benchmark to achieve.
The converse is true for the Democrats. There was an astronomical swelling of Obama worship in 2008 on the blue side of the page. Meeting that benchmark is going to be very difficult, especially since the hardcore lefties feel betrayed by Obama. He just isn't the ultra-commie Rush and Hannity promised he would be. But not for lack of trying! The lack of socialistic achievements is more a testament to his incompetence than his philosophical bent. He rode the messianic wave long enough to get ObamaCare and then fizzled out.
What is interesting is the rise in independents. I have long felt this country is ripe for a new major party. My back of the envelope estimation is that half of all Americans would jump on board a new viable moderate party in a heartbeat. They are just waiting for one to come along.
The battle of 2012 between Romney and Obama is going to be for the hearts and minds of those independents.
The idealogues have been infected with brain eating bacteria. They are very nearly immaterial.