Dail Kos predictions

Snookie

Groovy Dude
Jan 24, 2013
4,538
665
48
virginia
Daily Kos Elections at Daily Kos

[quoteAR-Gov/AR-Sen: After being one of the more crushingly boring states on election night the past few cycles, it looks like Arkansas is going to be a state with lots of eyes on it next November. Two statewide tossup races will do that for you, and as this poll from the University of Arkansas confirms, the Natural State has a pair of real coin flips.
As a litany of other polls have suggested, the U.S. Senate race between incumbent Democratic Sen. Mark Pryor and Republican Rep. Tom Cotton is deadlocked. The UA poll had Cotton at 37 percent, with Pryor at 36 percent. The open seat gubernatorial race to replace Democratic Gov. Mike Beebe is also tight. This poll gives Republican Asa Hutchinson a four-point edge (35-31) over former Democratic Rep. Mike Ross.

Cotton's campaign added another data point to the pile, releasing a poll from OnMessage showing the Republican leading Pryor by a four-point margin (45-41).

Meanwhile, Pryor is trying to change the electoral calculus by hitting on a major national Democratic talking point. Pryor is taking to the airwaves, hammering his GOP opponent on the shutdown.

9:27 AM PT: FL-Gov: Looks like it's just a matter of time before Charlie Crist jumps into the governor's race....

10:35 AM PT (Steve Singiser): PA-05: It has been obvious in recent weeks that Democratic recruiting efforts have been brisk, but this story on that front is quite the head turner: a recent meeting of Democrats in Centre County, Pennsylvania, yielded an effort to draft into a Congressional bid a very familiar name in Central PA: Paterno. Jay Paterno, to be exact, the former assistant football coach at Penn State under his late father, Joe Paterno. And it wasn't Some Dude that urged Paterno to make the bid for Congress--it was state treasurer (and gubernatorial candidate) Rob McCord.

This one is a shocker on two levels. For one thing, the Paterno name is almost always associated with the GOP: his dad was a well-known devotee of the Republican Party, and his older brother Scott made an unsuccessful bid for the House against Democrat Tim Holden about a decade ago. Another surprise: Paterno would be running against veteran GOP Rep. Glenn Thompson, who has never been seriously challenged in his three bids for his seat. The district is not entirely amenable to Democrats (Romney carried it 57-42), and the scandals that befell the football program there could be ripe for oppo research. That said, there are still a lot of folks in the region that have affection for the Paterno name, and he'd certainly be Thompson's strongest challenger to date.][/quote]
 
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