CBS Breaking News: Trump Leads Clinton By 5+ Points In Key Battleground State Of Pennsylvania

Not surprising coming from a state where Hillary wants to put half of it out of work. This is wonderful news. And Bannon hasn't even started his full blitzkrieg attack ads on Hillary yet.
Trump Leads Clinton by 5+ Points in the Key Battleground State of Pennsylvania
From your link:

"Results are estimated to be accurate within 7.1 percentage point"
Holy margin of error! For 1000 respondents in a state of PA's size, that is crazy.
 
So polls are relevant again.

Okay, got it.
.

The "science" of polling is like the "science" of Astrology.....dubious at best. Fraudulent at worst.

I trust one poll and one poll only. It will be conducted on November 8th.

Here's an excellent article that explains why the polls are no longer reliable.....Why the polls get it wrong

An article in the LA TIMES explaining why the polls are wrong?

That's perfect, since the one poll the RWnuts are now fixated on is the

LA TIMES/USC poll.

lolol
 
Not surprising coming from a state where Hillary wants to put half of it out of work. This is wonderful news. And Bannon hasn't even started his full blitzkrieg attack ads on Hillary yet.


Trump Leads Clinton by 5+ Points in the Key Battleground State of Pennsylvania
From the article you posted:
The survey contacted around 1,000 registered voters. Results are estimated to be accurate within 7.1 percentage points, 19 times out of 20. According to CEPEX analysis, the error percentage is high due to the results obtained from just one day of polling. Subsequent polling would be required to reduce the error percentage.
That puts the possible error at 7.1%, greater than the alleged lead over Clinton. Polling this year is an experiment for the CEPEX Center for Excellence, and a one day snapshot poll is nothing to get excited about. You should FIRST read the articles you think about posting before posting them!

On the other hand, the latest Marist (Aug 3-7, ± 3.3%), Quinnipiac (Jul 30- Aug 7, ± 3.0%) and Susquehanna (Jul 31- Aug 4, ± 3.53%) polls in Pennsylvania, all have Clinton in the lead by 9%. And currently, Nate Silver's 538 has the current Chance of winning the election at Clinton - 87.7% and at Frump - 12.2% giving Frump a less than 1 in 7 chance of winning Pennsylvania if the election were held today.
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/pennsylvania/#now

Trump may likely win a good portion of the western part of the Pennsylvania in that case, but unless there is a Divine intervention he'll lose by a wide margin in November, all the Frump propaganda about rigging the election notwithstanding!
 
Never heard of CEPEX
They are connected with the Oil/Gas/Petrochemicals sector, so it is obvious which side they line up on.
Oh, so a right wing conservative organisation, with every reason to slant their data, has produced an outlier, so, now, we should consider the possibility that a state that has not elected a Republican since 1988, is suddenly going gonzo over the Republican candidate.

Well...with Trump's campaign flaming out, these guys gotta get their hope from wherever they can.

Sent from my 5054N using Tapatalk
 
Robo-poll

Adults 18 years of age and older registered voters residing in the state of Pennsylvania were contacted on landline numbers and interviewed in English using robo-call interviewers. Landline telephone numbers were randomly selected based upon a list of registered voters from throughout the state of Pennsylvania from reputable suppliers of random phone numbers to opinion research companies.​

Polling & Analysis

Robocalling polls aren't considered as accurate as real polls.

It also excludes cell phones.

FYI, it's not CBS.

Also, Clinton leads Trump by 9 in the RCP averages.

RealClearPolitics - Election 2016 - Pennsylvania: Trump vs. Clinton
 

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