Can McCain Come Back?

Discussion in 'Congress' started by CrimsonWhite, Oct 9, 2008.

  1. CrimsonWhite
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    CrimsonWhite *****istrator Emeritus Supporting Member

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    Over the last few days, the national tracking polls, for the first time in a month (or since the Lehman Brothers collapse triggered the current stage in the financial crisis), have shown a small movement away from Barack Obama and toward John McCain. A 6.6% Obama lead in the RCP national average Monday was down to 5.1% Wednesday. The trend, however is mixed. Gallup gives Obama his biggest lead of the year at 11%, while Reuters, Hotline, and CBS, show the race in the 1-3% range. Even with margins of error, this range of results is pretty large.

    The state polls, on the other hand, have been quite favorable to Obama in the battleground states for weeks, and are consistent with a national polling lead of 6-7%. Obama now is in a commanding position with regard to the Electoral College. The state polls tend to lag the national tracking poll movement since they are not conducted as often, and if the national race is tightening, the state polls will also move a bit when they next appear.

    RealClearPolitics - Articles - Can McCain Come Back?
     
  2. DavidS
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    DavidS Anti-Tea Party Member

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    There's obviously going to be a contraction in a race with no incumbents. As much I'd like to believe, North Carolina is not going blue this year. Neither is Florida, most likely. I think this year is much like 2000, except it will come down to Ohio and one other, small state, perhaps New Hampshire. I predict Obama 49, MCcain 48.
     
  3. Larkinn
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    Larkinn Senior Member

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    The Nationals are swinging back a little bit, but battleground states are still very much for Obama.

    When Virginia is Obama +5.1, McCain has got huge problems.
     
  4. Modbert
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    Modbert Daydream Believer Supporting Member

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  5. Skull Pilot
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    Skull Pilot Platinum Member

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    I don't put a lot of stock in polls. hell I lied to a pollster more than once.
     
  6. MasTequila
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    MasTequila Member

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    I think it will all be decided by Bob Barr in Indiana. That race is a dead heat and Barr has 6-7%. It will be interesting.
     
  7. Silence
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    Silence wanna lick?

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    isn't Bob Bar a Republican? his 6-7% will draw from McCain not Obama.

    Skull what is the point of lying to pollsters? that's kind of childish isn't it? :eusa_whistle:

    That said, I expect the race won't be a blow out but I also expect Obama will win.
     
  8. Larkinn
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    Larkinn Senior Member

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    He is a Libertarian. I think polls have shown that hes been taking roughly the same amount of votes from Obama and McCain.
     
  9. elvis
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    elvis BANNED Supporting Member

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    He calls himself a libertarian. But he isn't Ron Paul.
     
  10. Larkinn
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    Larkinn Senior Member

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    Thats nice. Ron Paul is not a libertarian, he is a Republican.
     

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