Black Swans

Discussion in 'Environment' started by Old Rocks, Feb 3, 2009.

  1. Old Rocks
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    Old Rocks Diamond Member

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    Arctic 'Black Swans' Worry Scientists
    By John Fleck
    Albuquerque Journal
    Journal Staff Writer
    Mark Ivey worries about "black swans" in the arctic.
    It is not birds that are on the Sandia National Laboratories researcher's mind.
    It is global warming, and the prospect of climate changes that are unlikely, but almost impossible to predict, and that would be catastrophic if they come to pass.
    When all you've ever seen are white swans, the old saying goes, you have no way of knowing the odds of a black swan suddenly showing up. You know they are rare, but how rare?
    So it is with climate change, according to an analysis of Arctic climate by Ivey and a group of Sandia Labs colleagues.
    Albuquerque Journal
     

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