Balance of Powers?

Discussion in 'General Global Topics' started by eagleseven, Feb 4, 2010.

  1. eagleseven
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    eagleseven Quod Erat Demonstrandum

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    Analyzing world international relations, it appears that several power blocs are forming. Here is my hypothesis of the international blocs that will dominate the international scene for next decade or so, in order of relative power.


    Indian-American Alliance:
    USA, India, South Korea, Japan, Iraq

    Chinese Empire:
    China, North Korea, Myanmar, Vietnam, Pakistan, and several African states

    New Russian Federation:
    Russia, Ukraine, Iran, Indonesia, and old soviet states

    South Atlantic Treaty Organization:
    Brazil, Venezuela, Libya, Nigeria, Egypt, South Africa, and several other African states


    I leave out the European Union for two reasons; first, I strongly suspect that the European Union will not last for another decade, and second, the largest European powers are far too isolationist to be considered a bloc.

    How have I settled upon these blocs? First, the first country in every bloc are currently producing aircraft carriers. Aircraft carriers have one purpose: force projection. Second, by military expenditures and relative sizes...this new world will be defined by hard power and hard negotiations. Third, each bloc will have advanced nuclear weapons capabilities by the end of decade.

    Last, these alliances are based upon current treaties, armament sales/treaties, and the relations between individual nations. Of course, it is only a hypothesis.
     
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  2. xotoxi
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    xotoxi Platinum Member

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    What about Canada, eh?
     
  3. mal
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    mal Diamond Member

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    Those Flappy-Headed Sons-of-Bitches can Rot and Die!... Fuck 'em!

    :)

    peace...
     
  4. Amzi
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    Amzi Rookie

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    Your SATO group just seems like the 'oddball' group is spelling class instead of a formal alliance. Also, I would be pretty surprised to see India formally ally itself with any group that is not its own.
     
  5. eagleseven
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    eagleseven Quod Erat Demonstrandum

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    Venezuela/iran: South Atlantic Treaty Organization | WAIS

    Will it come together? Who knows...
     
  6. Amzi
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    Amzi Rookie

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    Pariah Alliance FTW! But seriously Egypt and South Africa would not risk their relations with the rest for a mutual defense treaty with Venezuela, Libya and other Pariahs.
     
  7. Modbert
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    Modbert Daydream Believer Supporting Member

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    South America would be interesting if they had some sort of alliance but some of them are too different for it to stay together.

    Same problem that is being posed now for the European Union.
     
  8. Amzi
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    Amzi Rookie

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    I think UNASUR, continental free trade and a common currency in the next 20 years will be as far as a South American alliance goes.

    Exactly. If the EU can somehow (Though some countries don't even want to) project a single interest, specifically in the field of foreign policy, they would be very powerful.... but they can't.
     
  9. Baruch Menachem
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    Baruch Menachem '

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    Aircraft carriers are only useful if you can leave the forces alone. For Russia and China, aircraft carriers will only be pretty toys that will be kept under very short leashes.
     
  10. Amzi
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    Amzi Rookie

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    I think China's carriers will be more influencial than Russia's- at least they could intervene in some African nations (ie. Sudan being the main one) Russia really has no where else to go... no stomping ground other than the CIS nations and Caucuses/Clack Sea for which you don't need a carrier to dominate.
     

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