The latest SurveyUSA poll has Republican Jon Barela leading Democratic incumbent Martin Heinrich 51% to 45% in New Mexico's First Congressional District. This does not bode well for the Democratic Party. Despite being represented by Republican Heather Wilson until 2008 when she ran for Senate, NM-01 is a Democratic leaning district with a Cook Partisan Voting Index score of D+5. Heinrich should be able to hold that seat even in a bad year for Democrats. The fact that he is trailing by six points is not a good sign for his party nationwide.