Bad News for Democrats

Discussion in 'Politics' started by Dont Taz Me Bro, Jul 27, 2010.

  1. Dont Taz Me Bro
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    Dont Taz Me Bro USMB Mod Staff Member Gold Supporting Member Supporting Member

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    The latest SurveyUSA poll has Republican Jon Barela leading Democratic incumbent Martin Heinrich 51% to 45% in New Mexico's First Congressional District. This does not bode well for the Democratic Party. Despite being represented by Republican Heather Wilson until 2008 when she ran for Senate, NM-01 is a Democratic leaning district with a Cook Partisan Voting Index score of D+5. Heinrich should be able to hold that seat even in a bad year for Democrats. The fact that he is trailing by six points is not a good sign for his party nationwide.
     
  2. theDoctorisIn
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    theDoctorisIn Senior Mod Staff Member Senior USMB Moderator

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    Martin Heinrich is the first Democrat to ever hold the seat. Explain what makes it such a "Democratic" district?
     
  3. Dont Taz Me Bro
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    Dont Taz Me Bro USMB Mod Staff Member Gold Supporting Member Supporting Member

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    I believe I did.
     
  4. VaYank5150
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    VaYank5150 Gold Member

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    I don't think the Democrats are worried as much now that the Tea Baggers have gotten the GOP to put Angle on the biggest ticket for the 2010 mid-terms.
     
  5. theDoctorisIn
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    theDoctorisIn Senior Mod Staff Member Senior USMB Moderator

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    And I'm saying I don't trust the Cook numbers, seeing as how the district HAD NEVER BEEN HELD BY A DEMOCRAT PRIOR TO 2008.
     
  6. Dont Taz Me Bro
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    Dont Taz Me Bro USMB Mod Staff Member Gold Supporting Member Supporting Member

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    The numbers are easy to validate. A a CPVI score of D+5 means the Democrats received 5 percentage points more votes than the national average.
     
  7. Dont Taz Me Bro
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    Dont Taz Me Bro USMB Mod Staff Member Gold Supporting Member Supporting Member

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    I'm sure Harry Reid is on knees thanking God for that one, but I still think in the end that Angle will defeat him. Plus, there are well over a hundred seats in play in both chambers and overall the Democrats have been polling poorly. Veteran Democrats like Earl Pomeroy and Stephanie Herseth are losing. My own Congressman John Spratt who has been in the House for almost 30 years is polling well below 50% and tied with his challenger. 2010 is shaping up for the GOP what 2006 and 2008 were for the Democrats and the Democrats are in as much denial as the Republicans were in '06.
     
  8. topspin
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    topspin BANNED

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    I'd be a ton more concerned if Republicans were taking a bunch of traditional democrat seats. Getting back a red state is a yawner.
     
  9. Jarhead
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    Jarhead Gold Member

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    Republicans gaining some seats back, be them traditional GOP or not is good for all of America. We NEED checks and balances in our legislative branch. We NEED debate in our legislative branch.

    Personally, I am appalled when either party brags about the possibility of a super majority. It lends itself to one sided law making that is not in the best interest of America.

    And when someone like Pelosi, the SPEAKER, brags to the media that the DEMS may gain a super majority (as she did in 2008), it confirms my belief that our politicians are more wrapped up in party than they are in doing what is best for America.

    I personally do not care who has the majority, I only care that the minority has a say in our law making.
     
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  10. Claudette
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    Claudette Gold Member

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    Ditto,

    I don't like it when either party controls the whole pie.

    Checks and balances work just fine for me.
     

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