And another Poll.....

Discussion in 'Election Forums' started by JimH52, Oct 25, 2012.

  1. JimH52
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    JimH52 Gold Member

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  2. WillowTree
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    WillowTree Diamond Member

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    The two most closely followed daily polls of the presidential race appear to be converging to show Mitt Romney with modest but stable lead as the election heads into the homestretch.

    Gallup has shown Romney with a 5-7 point lead over President Obama for the past two weeks, based on its rolling seven-day average. On Tuesday, Romney held a 51% to 46% edge. See latest Gallup poll.

    The Gallup poll has been dismissed by Democrats and even some independent political analysts as an aberration because other surveys show a much tighter, even deadlocked, race.

    Yet another tracking poll, Rasmussen Reports, said on Tuesday that Romney increased his lead to 50% to 46% in its latest three-day rolling average. Excluding convention bounces, that’s the biggest lead either candidate has held “in months,” Rasmussen said. See Rasmussen poll.

    Both polls were taken before the third and final presidential debate on Monday night, which focused on foreign policy.



    Gallup, Rasmussen daily tracking polls show Romney with clear lead - Political Watch - MarketWatch
     
  3. WillowTree
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    WillowTree Diamond Member

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    Gallup and Rassmussen vs. CNN






    :lol::lol::lol::lol::lol:
     
  4. JimH52
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    JimH52 Gold Member

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    So this is showing National numbers?
     
  5. WillowTree
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    WillowTree Diamond Member

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    poor old David Axlerod. :eusa_boohoo:
     
  6. Freemason9
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    Freemason9 Gold Member

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    I know that Rasmussen polling techniques (1) excludes cellular phones and only uses landline contacts, (2) is a "robo calling" method that gets many non-responses from busy people, (3) does not use any direct contact techniques for polling samples, and (4) weighs samples more heavily for Republicans than some other polls.

    Because of this, Rasmussen tends to poll older and unemployed households that still have landlines. It does not generally poll a more mobile, young, and employed population demographic.

    That's why Rasmussen is usually far, far different than other polls that do a better job of cross-sampling in the greater population--and also why Rasmussen is often cited by Republican fans.

    I can't speak to Gallup, although I note that their recent polls had a disproportionate number of sampled respondents from the South (I don't know the explanation for that), and also "corrected" through weighing more favorably toward Republicans than most other polls.
     
  7. WillowTree
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    WillowTree Diamond Member

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    :lol::lol::lol::lol:


    and you don't think cnn caters to libturds? right,, let's shit some rainbows, unicorns and lollipops.
     
  8. Zander
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    Zander Platinum Member

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    d+7 sample.....in OHIO?


    :rofl:
     
  9. AceRothstein
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    AceRothstein Gold Member

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    You realize both are down to 3% leads for Romney now, right? His claim of momentum is not rooted in reality.
     
  10. JimH52
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    JimH52 Gold Member

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    Enjoy the moment Willow....it might give you some good memories after November 6th:clap2:

    Willard's bump is over. Both Virginia and Ohio will go Blue.
     

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