usmbguest5318
Gold Member
Preface:
In reading the American Health Care Act of 2017 (ACHA) (O-care is the ACA), I discovered that Congress wrote the damn thing in straightforward enough language, but not at all in a straightforward way. The vast majority of the bill requires one to have a copy of the ACA (in some instances the IRS Code) and refer to it because time and time again, our Congressional representatives have written the revisions by stating "'such and such' a section of the ACA (or IRS Code) is modified to say "XYZ." That's of no use until one knows what the original code section says! Would it have been so hard to have simply copied and pasted the ACA text and then written "the preceding section of the ACA the same thing, emboldening or in some other way calling attention to the altered verbiage?
Introduction:
Of late, the news and politicians has prattled on and on about how and whether the ACHA will pass.[4] Whether it will or won't pass in the House is interesting politically, but I don't think that matters much. I think substance is what matters, and IMHO, the news has not nearly enough addressed what matters -- how individuals can tell what specific impact the bill will have on them -- in any way other than to pontificate and proselytize about what the bill will do; however, I don't find that they've done so in ways that matter to individuals.
Maybe they have, and I've missed it? That is what it is if they have. From what I have read, though, the news and our elected leaders have been very "big picture." I love big picture discussions; I'm a business owner. I happen to think that on the matter of health insurance, however, the big picture is irrelevant if individuals do not have health insurance.
I was primarily interested in discovering how the bill proposes to keep health insurance purchasable/affordable for low to modest income people [1]. The questions I sought to answer are these:
What I wanted to discern was whether the ACHA materially alters the practical realities faced by modest to low income people who seek health insurance for I suspected my support for or advocacy against the ACHA would derive from what I think in that regard. If I found there to be no material difference, I'd have looked elsewhere in the bill -- likely overall national economic impact -- to determine what I think of it. Quite simply, on a matter such as health insurance and health care, people matter more to me than do profits or political gains and losses, thus the prioritization I assigned to my inquiry into the ACHA.
Findings:
So here's what I found, and please note that this discussion pertains to people who purchase insurance directly, not to people who obtain it via their employer...
In reading the American Health Care Act of 2017 (ACHA) (O-care is the ACA), I discovered that Congress wrote the damn thing in straightforward enough language, but not at all in a straightforward way. The vast majority of the bill requires one to have a copy of the ACA (in some instances the IRS Code) and refer to it because time and time again, our Congressional representatives have written the revisions by stating "'such and such' a section of the ACA (or IRS Code) is modified to say "XYZ." That's of no use until one knows what the original code section says! Would it have been so hard to have simply copied and pasted the ACA text and then written "the preceding section of the ACA the same thing, emboldening or in some other way calling attention to the altered verbiage?
Introduction:
Of late, the news and politicians has prattled on and on about how and whether the ACHA will pass.[4] Whether it will or won't pass in the House is interesting politically, but I don't think that matters much. I think substance is what matters, and IMHO, the news has not nearly enough addressed what matters -- how individuals can tell what specific impact the bill will have on them -- in any way other than to pontificate and proselytize about what the bill will do; however, I don't find that they've done so in ways that matter to individuals.
Maybe they have, and I've missed it? That is what it is if they have. From what I have read, though, the news and our elected leaders have been very "big picture." I love big picture discussions; I'm a business owner. I happen to think that on the matter of health insurance, however, the big picture is irrelevant if individuals do not have health insurance.
I was primarily interested in discovering how the bill proposes to keep health insurance purchasable/affordable for low to modest income people [1]. The questions I sought to answer are these:
- What is the process by which low to modest income people would buy insurance under the ACA versus under the ACHA?
- What is the impact on individual taxpayers of removing the individual mandate and its corresponding penalty and replacing it with the 30% surcharge?
What I wanted to discern was whether the ACHA materially alters the practical realities faced by modest to low income people who seek health insurance for I suspected my support for or advocacy against the ACHA would derive from what I think in that regard. If I found there to be no material difference, I'd have looked elsewhere in the bill -- likely overall national economic impact -- to determine what I think of it. Quite simply, on a matter such as health insurance and health care, people matter more to me than do profits or political gains and losses, thus the prioritization I assigned to my inquiry into the ACHA.
Findings:
So here's what I found, and please note that this discussion pertains to people who purchase insurance directly, not to people who obtain it via their employer...
Reference Information/Materials:
- Price of insurance policies -- In some of the sources below, the sums are "buried" articles, so you'll have to scan for the figures. Don't forget, if you're equating the figures to your own situation, to add to the premium cost the amount of your actual historic average co-pay amounts and the share of your deductible that your co-pays don't count toward. (You should do that because regardless of to whom you pay the money, it's still money coming out of your pocket for healthcare/health insurance.)
- Rising Premiums Rankle People Paying Full Price For Health Insurance -- ~$800/month for the lady mentioned at the start of the article.
- Individual Mandate Penalty You Pay If You Don't Have Health Insurance Coverage
- The Satisfied Unsubsidized: Obamacare’s Hidden Winners
- How Much Does Health Insurance Cost Without a Subsidy? eHealth Price Index Report Shows What Off-Exchange Consumers Paid During the 2015 Obamacare Enrollment Period
- 2017 Obamacare Average Premiums and Average Deductibles - HealthPocket.com
- Rising Premiums Rankle People Paying Full Price For Health Insurance -- ~$800/month for the lady mentioned at the start of the article.
- Text of the ACA -- attached
- Text of the ACHA -- attached
Detailed Answers to My Questions:
The process for individuals obtaining health insurance under the ACHA is as follows:
As you can see, for a given low to modest income individual, and assuming the subsidy and the credit are the same amount, whether one can buy or cannot buy health insurance comes down to whether one can muster $10K or $7.5K or the related periodic, say monthly, payment amounts -- ~$850/month or ~$625/month, respectively.
For insurance companies:
For insurers and in terms of the premium amount they'd receive from any given individual and using the scenario above, there's no real difference. Neither bill defines what insurers can charge for insurance. Under both bills, the insurance company receives the full amount of the premium it charges for a health insurance policy.
What's different for insurers is that under the ACA, insurers must insure everyone, thus their premium amounts reflect a pooling of insurance risk. Under the ACHA, insurers likely will not find themselves insuring as many high risk individuals, namely the ones who are poor (poor enough) and who simply cannot afford the premium payment(s), thus just don't buy health insurance.
Insurers could, in theory, lower the market price of the policies they offer because of the change in their observed risk profiles if their owners' profit demands/expectations allow that to happen. Given where we are right now and the way businesses operate, what's more likely is that prices will be held constant at what they are now, or they will increase more slowly over time, the latter being the most likely of the two.[3]
Notes:The process for individuals obtaining health insurance under the ACHA is as follows:
- Identify the insurance you want to purchase.
- Pay for the policy however the insurer allows you to do so.
- Receive a tax credit on your income taxes.
- If you don't buy health insurance, you don't get the credit.
- If you don't file a federal income tax return -- people with low enough incomes, or who are entitled to a refund, and whose income tax liability can be calculated accurately using only W2s and 1099s, and who are willing to forgo their refund, don't need to -- you don't get the credit.[2]
- Identify the insurance you want to purchase.
- Receive a subsidy that reduces the amount of your out of pocket payments for the policy. The subsidy is provided by the government and paid directly to the insurer.
- Pay to your insurer your share of the premium for the policy. Your share = (Premium price) - (Subsidy amount).
(The ACA subsidy and ACHA tax credit will not for most people be the same or similar amounts -- that it's not has been well discussed in the news, but one can tell as much from reading the ACHA, assuming one makes the effort to do so; it's a PITA to do so, but having strong reading comprehension skills one can, and one need not be an attorney to do so....I'm not a lawyer -- the credit is generally less than would be the corresponding subsidy under the ACA, but I'll get to that later in this post.)
For individuals:
- Premiums:
- Under the ACHA, if the premium is $10,000/year, you need to have $10K of your own money to pay for the insurance policy. You also have to have the money to pay your co-pays, deductibles, etc. Assuming you do have $10K you can pay to the insurer, your "losses" in connection with the ACHA are limited to the interest you forgo by having had to pay that money to the insurance company rather than earning interest on it as it sits in your own bank account.
- One must calculate the specific interest impact for oneself as whether one pays monthly, quarterly, semi-annually, or annually affects the interest you pay....don't forget that you pay some interest to the insurer if you opt for a periodic payment plan rather than paying annually; thus one must net the interest gains and losses to determine the precise interest-loss sum applicable to one's own situation. (I'm not going to repeat the interest impact after this. Just be aware it's still there but it will be germane to a smaller sum of principal.)
- Under the ACA, if the premium is $10,000/year, you need to have $7500 of your own money to pay for the insurance policy. You also have to have the money to pay your co-pays, deductibles, etc. In this scenario, the interest effect applies to $7500, not $10K.
- Under the ACHA, if the premium is $10,000/year, you need to have $10K of your own money to pay for the insurance policy. You also have to have the money to pay your co-pays, deductibles, etc. Assuming you do have $10K you can pay to the insurer, your "losses" in connection with the ACHA are limited to the interest you forgo by having had to pay that money to the insurance company rather than earning interest on it as it sits in your own bank account.
- Penalties:
- Under the ACHA, if you let your health insurance coverage lapse for more than 60 days the insurer will charge you (the language of the ACHA is "insurer shall charge," so it's illegal for them to not charge it) a 30% surcharge for one year after which they can't assess the surcharge until you have another qualified lapse. The surcharge amount goes to the insurer, not the government and into a pool of money used to offset the cost of the tax credit. The insurer gets to keep the money (see Sec. 133 on page 63ff of the ACHA). The surcharge sum depends on the price of the insurance policy you purchase.
If you cannot pay for your insurance and lose it (even for just a day past 60), you'll pay 30% more (~$1100/month in the scenario we're using here) when you "get back on your feet." (Let's hope that "getting back on your feet" entails making a tidy bit more than you did before.) - Under the ACA, if you don't get insurance, you will have to pay a penalty for not doing so, and the penalty is assessed as a reduction to your refund, assuming you get one. If you aren't due a refund, it's a sum you must remit to the government, and no matter how you effect payment of the penalty (if you owe it), it's used to offset the subsidies.
The "no insurance" penalty in the ACA is the higher of:- $695/adult and $347.50/child, up to a household maximum of $2,085, or
- 2.5% of household income up to the a maximum of the total yearly premium for the national average subsidized price of a Bronze plan sold through the Marketplace. In 2015, the penalty amount using this calculation method was $2,484.
- Under the ACHA, if you let your health insurance coverage lapse for more than 60 days the insurer will charge you (the language of the ACHA is "insurer shall charge," so it's illegal for them to not charge it) a 30% surcharge for one year after which they can't assess the surcharge until you have another qualified lapse. The surcharge amount goes to the insurer, not the government and into a pool of money used to offset the cost of the tax credit. The insurer gets to keep the money (see Sec. 133 on page 63ff of the ACHA). The surcharge sum depends on the price of the insurance policy you purchase.
If you earn, $83,500, the most you'll pay as a "no insurance" penalty is $2,085. If you earn more than $83,500, you'll pay, at most, $2,484.
For insurance companies:
For insurers and in terms of the premium amount they'd receive from any given individual and using the scenario above, there's no real difference. Neither bill defines what insurers can charge for insurance. Under both bills, the insurance company receives the full amount of the premium it charges for a health insurance policy.
What's different for insurers is that under the ACA, insurers must insure everyone, thus their premium amounts reflect a pooling of insurance risk. Under the ACHA, insurers likely will not find themselves insuring as many high risk individuals, namely the ones who are poor (poor enough) and who simply cannot afford the premium payment(s), thus just don't buy health insurance.
Insurers could, in theory, lower the market price of the policies they offer because of the change in their observed risk profiles if their owners' profit demands/expectations allow that to happen. Given where we are right now and the way businesses operate, what's more likely is that prices will be held constant at what they are now, or they will increase more slowly over time, the latter being the most likely of the two.[3]
- Modest to low income being defined as gross income less than or equal to 300% of the poverty level, given one's household size.
- I have no idea how many people don't need to file federal (or state, for that matter) income tax returns. I just know that the overwhelming majority of them who are adults are very poor. There are about 1M people who have chosen to forgo tax refunds they are due from a government. Strictly speaking there is a simple filing requirement; however, the federal government won't enforce that requirement if the IRS determines that it owes the taxpayer money.
- Just what insurers opt to do with their policy prices depends on far more factors than are in scope for this post or thread.
- Though I have mentioned the media in my introduction, they are not the topic of this thread. Do not discuss whatever you think about the media here. Create your own thread for that. I will request your post be deleted if you make a point of discussing the media and media coverage of the ACA/ACHA.
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