A neutral ENSO

Old Rocks

Diamond Member
Oct 31, 2008
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Portland, Ore.
We are in a neutral ENSO, yet we are this warm. What gives, you flap yappers about a cooling world? LOL

gfs_nh-sat1_t2anom_1-day.png
 
Sooo, they use 40 years worth of data to make that assumption....

lol
 
Ok Old Rocksinhead, you seem to believe you’ve got this climate thing nailed down. So here is your chance to prove it. Present a model for what the weather will be like next October, or show the model that predicted the weather we are having now.

Climate is a very complicated system which is affected by numerous factors (most of which are far beyond the reach of human beings) that can’t be explained nor understood with a few graphs or charts. That is why nobody has yet produced a reliable climate model.......not even a looney rockhound.
 
The first post seems to be a single day ... that's all about the dynamics ... has no climatic relevance ...
The second image is month-to-month data ... and once again all about dynamics ... has no climatic relevance ...
Try this: calculate the standard deviation of that 1981-2010 average and state how many deviations this September 2019 value is away from average ... curious eh? ...

"Running, centered 13-month running average" is total horseshit ... that's all about dynamics ... whoever made that chart should be ashamed of themselves ...
 
The first post seems to be a single day ... that's all about the dynamics ... has no climatic relevance ...
The second image is month-to-month data ... and once again all about dynamics ... has no climatic relevance ...
Try this: calculate the standard deviation of that 1981-2010 average and state how many deviations this September 2019 value is away from average ... curious eh? ...

"Running, centered 13-month running average" is total horseshit ... that's all about dynamics ... whoever made that chart should be ashamed of themselves ...

Problem is most of these climate nitwits are ignorant when it comes to math or anything remotely scientific. Their strengths lie in telling tales and explaining stuff like fairy dust and unicorns.
 
We are in a neutral ENSO, yet we are this warm. What gives, you flap yappers about a cooling world? LOL

gfs_nh-sat1_t2anom_1-day.png
So you have total understanding of how our buffered system works? And you still use this
discredited propaganda site for your climate info... Too funny

LOL...

The answer is simple actually, The oceans burped up some heat the last few weeks but that too is going away soon... Your Neutral ENSO is about to get real cold...

Your 40 year anomaly horse shit is crap as you still cant tell us what the "normal" temp should be...
 
The first post seems to be a single day ... that's all about the dynamics ... has no climatic relevance ...
The second image is month-to-month data ... and once again all about dynamics ... has no climatic relevance ...
Try this: calculate the standard deviation of that 1981-2010 average and state how many deviations this September 2019 value is away from average ... curious eh? ...

"Running, centered 13-month running average" is total horseshit ... that's all about dynamics ... whoever made that chart should be ashamed of themselves ...

The University of Main made that steaming pile of crap..
 
nino1.png


Regions one and two are still vasolating as heat is expelled from the ocean. That will stop in the next month and it will go negative (cold). Enjoy the moderation as it wont last long.

nino2.png


When the heat is gone its going to be a rapid drop..
 
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Ok Old Rocksinhead, you seem to believe you’ve got this climate thing nailed down. So here is your chance to prove it. Present a model for what the weather will be like next October, or show the model that predicted the weather we are having now.

Why did you think that wasn't a stupid demand? Because it was.

We can't predict noise, but we can predict the trendline. And that's steadily up.

Climate is a very complicated system which is affected by numerous factors (most of which are far beyond the reach of human beings) that can’t be explained nor understood with a few graphs or charts. That is why nobody has yet produced a reliable climate model.......not even a looney rockhound.

Since the models have been stellar in predicting the upward trend, your statement is clearly false. I can't really blame you though. Your masters didn't see fit to tell you that, so how could you have known?
 
Ok Old Rocksinhead, you seem to believe you’ve got this climate thing nailed down. So here is your chance to prove it. Present a model for what the weather will be like next October, or show the model that predicted the weather we are having now.

Why did you think that wasn't a stupid demand? Because it was.

We can't predict noise, but we can predict the trendline. And that's steadily up.

Climate is a very complicated system which is affected by numerous factors (most of which are far beyond the reach of human beings) that can’t be explained nor understood with a few graphs or charts. That is why nobody has yet produced a reliable climate model.......not even a looney rockhound.

Since the models have been stellar in predicting the upward trend, your statement is clearly false. I can't really blame you though. Your masters didn't see fit to tell you that, so how could you have known?

No link to the stellar models you referred to, I winder why. Actually I don’t.
 
The first post seems to be a single day ... that's all about the dynamics ... has no climatic relevance ...
The second image is month-to-month data ... and once again all about dynamics ... has no climatic relevance ...
Try this: calculate the standard deviation of that 1981-2010 average and state how many deviations this September 2019 value is away from average ... curious eh? ...

"Running, centered 13-month running average" is total horseshit ... that's all about dynamics ... whoever made that chart should be ashamed of themselves ...
13 months is weather, not climate.
 

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