25% is not equal to 0%

Discussion in 'Politics' started by jillian, Jan 18, 2010.

  1. jillian
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    jillian Princess Supporting Member

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    I love Nate Silver

    FiveThirtyEight: Politics Done Right

    now...where are all the people who like posting this:

    [​IMG]
     
  2. Avatar4321
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    Avatar4321 Diamond Member Gold Supporting Member

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    I dont know a single person who does readily admit that Coakley has a chance of winning. Just because a candidate is horrid doesnt mean they cant get elected by some crazy chance.
     
  3. jillian
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    jillian Princess Supporting Member

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    neither one is a stellar candidate. but will be interestig tomorrow.
     
  4. Lumpy 1
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    Lumpy 1 Diamond Member Supporting Member

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    Gee jillian, I wouldn't have pegged you as an optimist..

    Even if Coakley were to win, it would be by a narrow margin in the hot bed of liberal thought and a Democrat stronghold..
     
  5. jillian
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    jillian Princess Supporting Member

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    a democratic stronghold that's had more than its share of republicans in it's state house and in its legislature.

    people think massachusetts is this bastion of liberal thought because it has cambridge and it had the kennedy's. but it also has a huge catholic population.

    i'm neither optimistic nor pessimistic about it. i posted nate silver's article because he's the smartest person out there on this type of thing.

    and do you really think anyone on either side cares if they win it in a close race... as long as they win it?

    some pollsters have it as close as 48% to 48%. that sounds optimistic to me. but no question no one is going to sleep a lot on either side tonight.
     
    Last edited: Jan 18, 2010
  6. blu
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    blu Senior Member

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    the Rs are funny, once again supporting someone who voted for romneycare and who fought for a state level cap and trade bill
     
  7. slackjawed
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    slackjawed Self deported

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    Yeah, isn't that interesting? There are a lot of 'interesting aspects to this particiular election. The voters will send a message no matter who wins.
    Interesting to say the least.
     
  8. Lumpy 1
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    Lumpy 1 Diamond Member Supporting Member

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    ++and do you really think anyone on either side cares if they win it in a close race... as long as they win it?++

    I suppose when the dust settles, excuses are made and the pundents finish blabbing, it makes little difference at all.
     
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  9. jillian
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    jillian Princess Supporting Member

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    it makes little difference regardless of the pundits. because neither would cast a single vote any differently whether they win by 1000 votes or 10,000 or 1,000,000
     
  10. Baruch Menachem
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    Baruch Menachem '

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    Been watching the intrade numbers. She really isn't doing very well. Down 14 on the day.

    I think about half of it is her, and a large portion is generalized disgust with DC, and it might just be that the R's have a good convincing candidate.

    But tomorrow will be another day.
     

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