Not much will change my vote, mainly because of cap and trade and immigration, but the Republicans shouldn't get too confident. Things can change. Things can change a lot in 2 years. Imagine this: (1) Economy rebounds and unemployment goes under 5% (2) Iran signs a deal and becomes nuke free (3) The electric car takes off and oil prices decrease (4) I and P sign a peace agreement and peace is achieved (5) Troops pull out of Iraq (he will get credit and applause) (6) OBL is captured (7) No amnesty bill is signed or presented (8) There is hope in afghanistan (9) No bad effects of the healthcare bill are seen (yet!)! (10) The deficit goes down (that would take a lot) Imagine if all these things are even a few combined with #1 (heck even #1) happens, then Obama is assured a victory!