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Old 05-05-2008, 11:25 PM
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Watch the web for climate change truths

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/opinion/m.../04/do0405.xml

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Watch the web for climate change truths
By Christopher Booker
Last Updated: 12:01am BST 04/05/2008

A notable story of recent months should have been the evidence pouring in from all sides to cast doubts on the idea that the world is inexorably heating up. The proponents of man-made global warming have become so rattled by how the forecasts of their computer models are being contradicted by the data that some are rushing to modify the thesis.

So a German study, published by Nature last week, claimed that, while the world is definitely warming, it may cool down until 2015 "while natural variations in climate cancel out the increases caused by man-made greenhouse gas emissions".

A little vignette of the media's one-sided view was given by recent events on Snowdon, the highest mountain in southern Britain. Each year between 2003 and 2007, the retreat of its winter snow cover inspired reports citing this as evidence of global warming.

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Old 05-05-2008, 11:34 PM
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On April 24 the World Wildife Fund (WWF), another body keen to keep the warmist flag flying, published a study warning that Arctic sea ice was melting so fast that it may soon reach a "tipping point" where "irreversible change" takes place. This was based on last September's data, showing ice cover having shrunk over six months from 13 million square kilometres to just 3 million.

What the WWF omitted to mention was that by March the ice had recovered to 14 million sq km (see the website Cryosphere Today), and that ice-cover around the Bering Strait and Alaska that month was at its highest level ever recorded. (At the same time Antarctic sea ice-cover was also at its highest-ever level, 30 per cent above normal).
Why must they twist the facts? The ice is back and sounds like it's going to be sticking around more for the next few years. Better start stocking up on blankets.
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Old 05-06-2008, 03:38 AM
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You presume that the Telegraph hasn't politicized the issue???

it's a conservative paper and takes the conservative line on the issue which is... awwwwwwwww... it doesn't exist, and if it does, well, it's not bad...and if it's bad...well, its not our fault...

yadda yadda yadda yadda....(not you; the issue).
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Old 05-06-2008, 06:47 AM
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This whole issue isn't about whether we are warming or not. Glaciers have been receding since we started watching them, which is not been very long, maybe 100 years, tops. Tree trunks, that have been covered and preserved for thousands of years, are coming to the surface in Canada, ect. which does indicate that things are warming up but also that we've been here before. Geology has shown that the cooling and warming cyles are reoccurring and that we are presently in a warming cyle. The fact that we are warming is all based on pretty sound science.

What the issue is about is whether we, being the human race, are accelerating the process. Not whether it is happening, it is but are we unnecessarily pushing it along.

We can't say much of anything for certain because we just don't have much data and it's complicated by the fact that natures processes typically follow an accellerated path of their own once they begin. In other words, natural processes are typically exponential they don't follow straight line behavior. So chances are we're trying to measure the speed of an accellerating process. It makes common sense to think that all we do could be contributing but there is no proof of it and we may not get any unless some really bright person figures a way around the mess.

So, the issue is a serious concern but not one anyone should be going off the deep end about, yet, because we just don't know.
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Old 05-06-2008, 09:53 AM
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Originally Posted by cbi0090 View Post
This whole issue isn't about whether we are warming or not. Glaciers have been receding since we started watching them, which is not been very long, maybe 100 years, tops. Tree trunks, that have been covered and preserved for thousands of years, are coming to the surface in Canada, ect. which does indicate that things are warming up but also that we've been here before. Geology has shown that the cooling and warming cyles are reoccurring and that we are presently in a warming cyle. The fact that we are warming is all based on pretty sound science.

What the issue is about is whether we, being the human race, are accelerating the process. Not whether it is happening, it is but are we unnecessarily pushing it along.

We can't say much of anything for certain because we just don't have much data and it's complicated by the fact that natures processes typically follow an accellerated path of their own once they begin. In other words, natural processes are typically exponential they don't follow straight line behavior. So chances are we're trying to measure the speed of an accellerating process. It makes common sense to think that all we do could be contributing but there is no proof of it and we may not get any unless some really bright person figures a way around the mess.

So, the issue is a serious concern but not one anyone should be going off the deep end about, yet, because we just don't know.
But we do know.... we know we're a contributing and accellerating factor. We know we have control over the means of curbing that accelleration.

Only the "junk science" says otherwise... and, unfortunately, it's muddied the water for some people (although for the life of me, I don't understand how).
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When the Founding Fathers protected our right to free speech, I think that meant we were supposed to use it.

Abu Musab Al-Zarqawi was the world's most unhinged lunatic. He's now dead. So that moves Ann Coulter up to first place - David Letterman

O, when she is angry she is keen and shrewd; / She was a vixen when she went to school, / And though she be but little, she is fierce. — Shakespeare

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Old 05-06-2008, 10:22 AM
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Originally Posted by jillian View Post
But we do know.... we know we're a contributing and accellerating factor. We know we have control over the means of curbing that accelleration.

Only the "junk science" says otherwise... and, unfortunately, it's muddied the water for some people (although for the life of me, I don't understand how).


Maybe it is YOU who better heed your own Springsteen quote.
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Old 05-06-2008, 10:49 AM
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Originally Posted by jillian View Post
But we do know.... we know we're a contributing and accellerating factor. We know we have control over the means of curbing that accelleration.

Only the "junk science" says otherwise... and, unfortunately, it's muddied the water for some people (although for the life of me, I don't understand how).
I don't for a minute doubt that the greenhouse effect is real. Increased CO2 does not accelerate warming though - in fact, there's a diminishing return relationship between increased atmospheric CO2 levels and temperature increase. CO2 can only absorb select frequencies of infrared radation.

The catastrophe theories are based on the assumption that positive feedback mechanisms in the climate system amplify the relatively small effect of CO2. But although CO2's slight warming effect is settled science, how that effect resonates in an extremely chaotic (but long-term stable) climate system is not.

Any other field of science will assume strong negative feedbacks when presented with a long term stable system, but not climate forecasting. The fact that the Earth has oscillated in and out of Ice Ages and Warm Periods before suggests that there are negative feedbacks at work, keeping the Earth in a natural range of temperature variability.

The need to "do something" seems a little whack to me. It's kinda like being stuck in a hot, dark room with no access to a thermostat, and someone yelling at you to blow out the candle you're burning. After all, candles produce heat and are surely adding to the room's temperature. But blowing out the candle won't really cool the room's temperature significantly, because unfortunately, we don't control the Earth's thermostat! And personally, I'd prefer not to be sitting in the dark.
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Old 05-06-2008, 10:50 AM
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Originally Posted by dread View Post
Maybe it is YOU who better heed your own Springsteen quote.
or perhaps you should, or pick your sources better.
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"Trust none of what you hear And less of what you see" Springsteen

When the Founding Fathers protected our right to free speech, I think that meant we were supposed to use it.

Abu Musab Al-Zarqawi was the world's most unhinged lunatic. He's now dead. So that moves Ann Coulter up to first place - David Letterman

O, when she is angry she is keen and shrewd; / She was a vixen when she went to school, / And though she be but little, she is fierce. — Shakespeare

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Old 05-06-2008, 11:13 AM
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Originally Posted by TopGunna View Post
I don't for a minute doubt that the greenhouse effect is real. Increased CO2 does not accelerate warming though - in fact, there's a diminishing return relationship between increased atmospheric CO2 levels and temperature increase. CO2 can only absorb select frequencies of infrared radation.

The catastrophe theories are based on the assumption that positive feedback mechanisms in the climate system amplify the relatively small effect of CO2. But although CO2's slight warming effect is settled science, how that effect resonates in an extremely chaotic (but long-term stable) climate system is not.

Any other field of science will assume strong negative feedbacks when presented with a long term stable system, but not climate forecasting. The fact that the Earth has oscillated in and out of Ice Ages and Warm Periods before suggests that there are negative feedbacks at work, keeping the Earth in a natural range of temperature variability.

The need to "do something" seems a little whack to me. It's kinda like being stuck in a hot, dark room with no access to a thermostat, and someone yelling at you to blow out the candle you're burning. After all, candles produce heat and are surely adding to the room's temperature. But blowing out the candle won't really cool the room's temperature significantly, because unfortunately, we don't control the Earth's thermostat! And personally, I'd prefer not to be sitting in the dark.
I don't believe in catastrophe theories. I don't think my island of manhattan is going to be sucked up by a tidal wave emanating from the melting of the polar ice caps anytime soon. I do, however, think all of the reliable evidence points to a need for energy conservation; alternative energies and a need to wean from fossil fuels for both environmental and sociological reasons.

I am appalled by the fact that people have really politicized this in such a silly way. There are real, common sense ways of dealing with these issues. For one, we know that even if we wanted to, fossil fuels are not infinte. Second, we know that our reliance on fossil fuels has allowed us to keep bankrolling countries that fund terrorist organizations. I also believe that funding R&D in the area of alternative energy would do wonders for our economy and perhaps bring home some of the tech jobs we've lost to off-shoring, in addition to bringing us environmental benefits.

Just my feeling on the subject.
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"Trust none of what you hear And less of what you see" Springsteen

When the Founding Fathers protected our right to free speech, I think that meant we were supposed to use it.

Abu Musab Al-Zarqawi was the world's most unhinged lunatic. He's now dead. So that moves Ann Coulter up to first place - David Letterman

O, when she is angry she is keen and shrewd; / She was a vixen when she went to school, / And though she be but little, she is fierce. — Shakespeare

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Old 05-06-2008, 12:01 PM
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Originally Posted by jillian View Post
I don't believe in catastrophe theories. I don't think my island of manhattan is going to be sucked up by a tidal wave emanating from the melting of the polar ice caps anytime soon. I do, however, think all of the reliable evidence points to a need for energy conservation; alternative energies and a need to wean from fossil fuels for both environmental and sociological reasons.

I am appalled by the fact that people have really politicized this in such a silly way. There are real, common sense ways of dealing with these issues. For one, we know that even if we wanted to, fossil fuels are not infinte. Second, we know that our reliance on fossil fuels has allowed us to keep bankrolling countries that fund terrorist organizations. I also believe that funding R&D in the area of alternative energy would do wonders for our economy and perhaps bring home some of the tech jobs we've lost to off-shoring, in addition to bringing us environmental benefits.

Just my feeling on the subject.
I agree with everything you wrote above. But I do feel that predicting catastrophe tends to undermine the more legitmate reasons for concern. There are plenty of good reasons to preserve our natural resources as you've pointed out.

Similarly, I also feel that the religion is right to encourage us to love and help others. We should be doing those things, but we shouldn't be doing them simply to avoid the fires and brimstone of hell.
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Old 05-06-2008, 12:17 PM
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Originally Posted by TopGunna View Post
I agree with everything you wrote above. But I do feel that predicting catastrophe tends to undermine the more legitmate reasons for concern. There are plenty of good reasons to preserve our natural resources as you've pointed out.

Similarly, I also feel that the religion is right to encourage us to love and help others. We should be doing those things, but we shouldn't be doing them simply to avoid the fires and brimstone of hell.
I don't believe in hell.

But I do believe in doing the right thing. And being good stewards of the planet is one of them... regardless of catastrophic predictions. And I DO think that people who say there's no such thing as global warming and that we have "no" responsibility or means of alleviating at least part of the problem are a bigger part of the problem.

I think if we could all agree on preservation of resources as a positive, we'd be way ahead of the game.
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When the Founding Fathers protected our right to free speech, I think that meant we were supposed to use it.

Abu Musab Al-Zarqawi was the world's most unhinged lunatic. He's now dead. So that moves Ann Coulter up to first place - David Letterman

O, when she is angry she is keen and shrewd; / She was a vixen when she went to school, / And though she be but little, she is fierce. — Shakespeare

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Old 05-06-2008, 02:14 PM
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Global Warming, not real. It is to make you fear natural disaster. It's called a fear tactic. There's alot of them out there. Like Terrorism. It is the same thing and the same people doing it.

What they are not telling you is that our by products that we are producing have more effect on our bodies then the climate 100x more then the enviroment, GW is covering up the real issue.

Sheep, Wake Up here. Not just GW but all the issue's you hear about are the bad ones. They only let you know what they want you to know and tell you what they want you to know. The general public has little to no knowledge in some of these area's or let alone know how to set up an experiment or gather and interpret the data. This is how they take advantage of you and give you false information that is regarded as True because so many people think it's right because a Dick Cheney got a Nobel for it.

Seriously, who gets a Nobel for saying we are in eminent danger of Gas ourselves?
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Old 05-06-2008, 03:03 PM
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Originally Posted by Uknow_me72 View Post
Global Warming, not real. It is to make you fear natural disaster. It's called a fear tactic. There's alot of them out there. Like Terrorism. It is the same thing and the same people doing it.

What they are not telling you is that our by products that we are producing have more effect on our bodies then the climate 100x more then the enviroment, GW is covering up the real issue.

Sheep, Wake Up here. Not just GW but all the issue's you hear about are the bad ones. They only let you know what they want you to know and tell you what they want you to know. The general public has little to no knowledge in some of these area's or let alone know how to set up an experiment or gather and interpret the data. This is how they take advantage of you and give you false information that is regarded as True because so many people think it's right because a Dick Cheney got a Nobel for it.

Seriously, who gets a Nobel for saying we are in eminent danger of Gas ourselves?
I know one thing, I was in eminent danger of being Gassed by the lady in front of me at the store yesterday. yuck!

lol

It's also to make money. I like how Gore won the Nobel P. and then flew there in his private jet, burning hundreds of gallons of jet-fuel. Hmm...
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Old 05-06-2008, 03:20 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Uknow_me72 View Post
Global Warming, not real. It is to make you fear natural disaster. It's called a fear tactic. There's alot of them out there. Like Terrorism. It is the same thing and the same people doing it.

What they are not telling you is that our by products that we are producing have more effect on our bodies then the climate 100x more then the enviroment, GW is covering up the real issue.

Sheep, Wake Up here. Not just GW but all the issue's you hear about are the bad ones. They only let you know what they want you to know and tell you what they want you to know. The general public has little to no knowledge in some of these area's or let alone know how to set up an experiment or gather and interpret the data. This is how they take advantage of you and give you false information that is regarded as True because so many people think it's right because a Dick Cheney got a Nobel for it.

Seriously, who gets a Nobel for saying we are in eminent danger of Gas ourselves?
Okie dokie.... is there a full moon out or something?
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"Trust none of what you hear And less of what you see" Springsteen

When the Founding Fathers protected our right to free speech, I think that meant we were supposed to use it.

Abu Musab Al-Zarqawi was the world's most unhinged lunatic. He's now dead. So that moves Ann Coulter up to first place - David Letterman

O, when she is angry she is keen and shrewd; / She was a vixen when she went to school, / And though she be but little, she is fierce. — Shakespeare

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Old 05-06-2008, 09:26 PM
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Originally Posted by jillian View Post
or perhaps you should, or pick your sources better.


I, at least , have sources....I have yet tyo see any from you. And just because YOU dont want to listen to them because you are sooo caught up in the "lets hate humans" theory doesnt mean they are incorrect.
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