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UCLA: FDR Prolonged the Depression

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Old 07-12-2010, 05:36 AM
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the article doesn't explain this>

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Old 07-12-2010, 05:42 AM
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Quote: Originally Posted by PoliticalChic View Post
Quote: Originally Posted by CrusaderFrank View Post
Can you imagine 8 years of 17% average unemployment? The only thing Great about FDR was how he grew the government. That's it! He sucked at everything else.

For years I have been telling mindless FDR was Great Zombies that their Stockholm Syndrome is not my problem and it's good to see a university finally catching on
You know, CF, whenever there is a post with pretty strong anti-lib data or thought, we find no takers from the left.

Understandable...

But I sort of have the feeling that I should kind of smooth out the criticism.

He was, after all the right man for the job, re: WWII.

And, I don't recall the source of the following, but you might agree with much of it:

"Who can now imagine a day when America offered no Social Security, no unemployment compensation, no food stamps, no Federal guarantee of bank deposits, no Federal supervision of the stock market, no Federal protection for collective bargaining, no Federal standards for wages and hours, no Federal support for farm prices or rural electrification, no Federal refinancing for farm and home mortgages, no Federal commitment to high employment or to equal opportunity - in short, no Federal responsibility for Americans who found themselves, through no fault of their own, in economic or social distress?"

Not too many of our Presidents have been all good or all bad...(until now...?)
how does the above jive with our social contract without radical change PC?

We the People of the United States, in Order to form a more perfect Union, establish Justice, insure domestic Tranquility, provide for the common defence,[1] promote the general Welfare, and secure the Blessings of Liberty to ourselves and our Posterity, do ordain and establish this Constitution for the United States of America.
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Old 07-12-2010, 05:51 AM
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Quote: Originally Posted by geauxtohell View Post
Quote: Originally Posted by Skull Pilot View Post
Too bad the only way FDR got us out of the depression was WWII.
That was part of it. It wasn't all of it.

Quote:
Just because the depression ended while FDR was in office does not necessarily mean that FDR ended the depression.
As the President, he gets credit for everything that happens or fails to happen in this country. FDR was in office when the depression started and was in office when the depression ended. He was so enormously popular that he was elected by the American people four times. Obviously the people who really matter, those who lived through the matter have a different opinion.

It's funny watching you guys constantly trying to bash FDR's tangible accomplishments. It's silly.
It's funny that people are still blaming bush too then. Especially if the president gets the credit (blame) for everything that happens while he is in office.
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Old 07-12-2010, 05:55 AM
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Quote: Originally Posted by Skull Pilot View Post
Quote: Originally Posted by geauxtohell View Post
Quote: Originally Posted by Skull Pilot View Post
Too bad the only way FDR got us out of the depression was WWII.
That was part of it. It wasn't all of it.

Quote:
Just because the depression ended while FDR was in office does not necessarily mean that FDR ended the depression.
As the President, he gets credit for everything that happens or fails to happen in this country. FDR was in office when the depression started and was in office when the depression ended. He was so enormously popular that he was elected by the American people four times. Obviously the people who really matter, those who lived through the matter have a different opinion.

It's funny watching you guys constantly trying to bash FDR's tangible accomplishments. It's silly.
It's funny that people are still blaming bush too then. Especially if the president gets the credit (blame) for everything that happens while he is in office.
Bush is still relevant as we are still early in the Obama administration and he was the last guy that held the office for 8 years.

That being said, Obama is in charge now and he can't make a habit out of blaming Bush. However, it's totally appropriate to point out that Bush's mismanagement of Afghanistan is part of the reason we have problems there today.

FDR, on the other hand has been dead for almost 70 years. I guess it took that long for the grateful members of the greatest generation who, for the most part, revered him to die off and leave their spoiled and ungrateful children to nitpick the policies of a man who had the fortitude to lead us through one of the greatest crisis' in American history.

Like I said, I don't get it. I am a DEM, but I would never for a second claim that Lincoln wasn't among the greatest presidents in American history.

Then, if you want to go into nuance, you have to dig to find things to knock FDR for while being more than happy to give Reagan credit for bringing down the USSR which is a stretch.
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Old 07-12-2010, 05:55 AM
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Quote: Originally Posted by PoliticalChic View Post
FDR's policies prolonged Depression by 7 years, UCLA economists calculate

“Roosevelt's role in lifting the nation out of the Great Depression has been so revered that Time magazine readers cited it in 1999 when naming him the 20th century's second-most influential figure.”

1. After scrutinizing Roosevelt's record for four years, Harold L. Cole and Lee E. Ohanian conclude in a new study that New Deal policies signed into law 71 years ago thwarted economic recovery for seven long years.

2. …we have always worried whether we would have another 10- to 15-year economic slump," said Ohanian, vice chair of UCLA's Department of Economics. "We found that a relapse isn't likely unless lawmakers gum up a recovery with ill-conceived stimulus policies."
3. …Ohanian and Cole blame specific anti-competition and pro-labor measures that Roosevelt promoted and signed into law June 16, 1933….Even after being deemed unconstitutional, Roosevelt's anti-competition policies persisted — albeit under a different guise, the scholars found.

4. "President Roosevelt believed that excessive competition was responsible for the Depression by reducing prices and wages, and by extension reducing employment and demand for goods and services," said Cole, also a UCLA professor of economics. "So he came up with a recovery package that would be unimaginable today, allowing businesses in every industry to collude without the threat of antitrust prosecution and workers to demand salaries about 25 percent above where they ought to have been, given market forces. The economy was poised for a beautiful recovery, but that recovery was stalled by these misguided policies."

5. Cole and Ohanian calculate that NIRA and its aftermath account for 60 percent of the weak recovery. Without the policies, they contend that the Depression would have ended in 1936 instead of the year when they believe the slump actually ended: 1943.

6. "The fact that the Depression dragged on for years convinced generations of economists and policy-makers that capitalism could not be trusted to recover from depressions and that significant government intervention was required to achieve good outcomes," Cole said. "Ironically, our work shows that the recovery would have been very rapid had the government not intervened."
FDR's policies prolonged Depression by 7 years, UCLA economists calculate / UCLA Newsroom

(emphasis mine throughout)

OMG- another liberal icon bites the dust...
we need emergency intervention for our liberal friends!
You know the definition of a Convention of Economists, PC?

It's a room with filled with 500 men with watches, NONE of whom can give you the correct time.

So an economist at UCLA thinks FDR made the depression worse? I certainly do not doubt that. And there's probably another UCLA economist in the same department who completely disagrees, too



If these economist (all of them) actually KNEW how economies worked, don't you think they'd ALL already be billionaires?

Economics is NOT chemistry, it's not physics, it's not mechanical sciences. It's NOT a hard science, its a SOCIAL science (with a lot of highly dubious numbers)

If economics was the kind of science that could make pronouncments that could be duplicated in a lab by other economists, then our economy wouldn't be the mess it is.

Economist are more like historians than accounts, dude.

Accountants can have any other accountant come to the exact same conclusion if they have the same books.

Economist can't even agree what the numbers are, let along what they mean.

Last edited by editec; 07-12-2010 at 05:58 AM.
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  #21 (permalink)  
Old 07-12-2010, 05:57 AM
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Quote: Originally Posted by geauxtohell View Post
Quote: Originally Posted by Skull Pilot View Post
Quote: Originally Posted by geauxtohell View Post

That was part of it. It wasn't all of it.



As the President, he gets credit for everything that happens or fails to happen in this country. FDR was in office when the depression started and was in office when the depression ended. He was so enormously popular that he was elected by the American people four times. Obviously the people who really matter, those who lived through the matter have a different opinion.

It's funny watching you guys constantly trying to bash FDR's tangible accomplishments. It's silly.
It's funny that people are still blaming bush too then. Especially if the president gets the credit (blame) for everything that happens while he is in office.
Bush is still relevant as we are still early in the Obama administration and he was the last guy that held the office for 8 years.

That being said, Obama is in charge now and he can't make a habit out of blaming Bush. However, it's totally appropriate to point out that Bush's mismanagement of Afghanistan is part of the reason we have problems there today.
Ah so you like to have it both ways.

typical libby.
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Old 07-12-2010, 06:04 AM
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Quote: Originally Posted by editec View Post
You know the definition of a Convention of Economists, PC?

It's a room with filled with 500 men with watches, NONE of whom can give you the correct time.

So an economist at UCLA thinks FDR made the depression worse? I certainly do not doubt that. And there's probably another UCLA economist in the same department who completely disagrees, too

If these economist (all of them) actually KNEW how economies worked, don't you think they'd ALL already be billionaires?

Economics is NOT chemistry, it's not physics, it's not mechanical sciences. It's NOT a hard science, its a SOCIAL science (with a lot of highly dubious numbers)

If economics was the kind of science that could make pronouncments that could be duplicated in a lab by other economists, then our economy wouldn't be the mess it is.

Economist are more like historians than accounts, dude.

Accountants can have any other accountant come to the exact same conclusion if they have the same books.

Economist can't even agree what the numbers are, let along what they mean.
Exactly. Economics (while being a wonderful field of study) is inherently a soft science. If you run a chemical reaction, the results are predictable every time. You should be able to crunch the numbers prior to the reaction and predict how much product you will yield. Failure to yield that product means your methodology was wrong. Economics? No so much.

Like I said, it might make for an interested academic debate. It doesn't mean much in the greater scheme of things.
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Old 07-12-2010, 06:06 AM
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Quote: Originally Posted by Skull Pilot View Post
Quote: Originally Posted by geauxtohell View Post
Quote: Originally Posted by Skull Pilot View Post

It's funny that people are still blaming bush too then. Especially if the president gets the credit (blame) for everything that happens while he is in office.
Bush is still relevant as we are still early in the Obama administration and he was the last guy that held the office for 8 years.

That being said, Obama is in charge now and he can't make a habit out of blaming Bush. However, it's totally appropriate to point out that Bush's mismanagement of Afghanistan is part of the reason we have problems there today.
Ah so you like to have it both ways.

typical libby.
Uh no. If you can't get the importance of time to this matter than it's no wonder you were lost.

Here's a good point: Clinton could have done more to get Bin Ladin. So he shares some culpability in 9-11 that happened under his immediate predecessor. The bulk of the matter is still on W., who was in office at the time.

FDR, on the other hand, can't be blamed for the matter.
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Old 07-12-2010, 06:16 AM
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We've had 18 months of 10% unemployment.

Imagine if unemployment were nearly twice as bad and lasted 6 1/2 more years: that's FDR.

FDR: worst economy in human history, eclipsing the 7 Biblical Lean Years.
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FDR Accomplishments: US Unemployment 1933: 24.9, 1934: 21.7%, 1935: 20.1%, 1936: 16.9%, 1937: 14.3%, 1938: 19.0%, 1939: 17.2%. = 19.1% average.

But FDR did manage to Stimulus Fund the Tuskegee Experiments, let the Japanese attack Pearl Harbor, threaten to pack SCOTUS, jail Japanese Americans and ban hemp; Progressive call that "Greatness"

Ike passed Civil Rights, LBJ opposed it, Joe McCarthy was a Patriot and a Hero, Obama's a Marxist and Jesus wasn't a Community Organizer. Progressives, they lie about everything.
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Old 07-12-2010, 06:19 AM
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Quote: Originally Posted by Skull Pilot View Post
Too bad the only way FDR got us out of the depression was WWII.
Out of curiosity, what economic factors associated with World War II do you credit with ending the depression? Budget-balancing and a reliance on laissez faire capitalism?
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Old 07-12-2010, 06:24 AM
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Quote: Originally Posted by geauxtohell View Post
Quote: Originally Posted by PoliticalChic View Post
Either you didn't read the article, or you didn't understand it.

I have my suspicions.

To the point, 'FDR got us out of the depression,' this may be more your speed:

Mark Steyn presciently noted, in late October of 2008, other nations had economic Depressions at the start of the 1930s; the US had a Great Depression, earning that added sobriquet due to its needless longevity.


BTW, 'sobriquet' means nickname...
Either way, it's irrefutable that FDR got the United States out of the depression. Furthermore, the depression was much more than an economic collapse. It was also a massive drought in the Midwest. Comparing it with other nation's "depressions" is apples and oranges.

With the benefit of retrospect, some economists might project that the New Deal wasn't 100% efficient. That's not surprising. It's also not terribly convincing. Economics is not an exact science and, simply focusing on policy ignores other factors of the presidency, and in the end, the results are all that matters.

FDR was the only person that was willing and able to get us out of the depression. Hoover believed in non-intervention and greatly compounded the problem. The whole "do nothing and the invisible hand of the market will fix it!" mentality had been tried with disastrous results.
"...irrefutable ..."

Very nice word, and certainly an upgrade for you!

Sadly, you don't know what the word means, as the OP does exactly the reverse of the term.

Unless you are ready to deny that the depression lasted longer here, under the FDR policies, than under nations that chose a less ideological fix...

are you?

But, kudos, for the choice of a new avatar. Far more adult...

now if you could only do something about the name...
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Old 07-12-2010, 06:27 AM
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Economic is not hard, it's just is taught that way to make Keynesian Economics look believable.
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FDR Accomplishments: US Unemployment 1933: 24.9, 1934: 21.7%, 1935: 20.1%, 1936: 16.9%, 1937: 14.3%, 1938: 19.0%, 1939: 17.2%. = 19.1% average.

But FDR did manage to Stimulus Fund the Tuskegee Experiments, let the Japanese attack Pearl Harbor, threaten to pack SCOTUS, jail Japanese Americans and ban hemp; Progressive call that "Greatness"

Ike passed Civil Rights, LBJ opposed it, Joe McCarthy was a Patriot and a Hero, Obama's a Marxist and Jesus wasn't a Community Organizer. Progressives, they lie about everything.
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Old 07-12-2010, 06:28 AM
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Quote: Originally Posted by Greenbeard View Post
Quote: Originally Posted by Skull Pilot View Post
Too bad the only way FDR got us out of the depression was WWII.
Out of curiosity, what economic factors associated with World War II do you credit with ending the depression? Budget-balancing and a reliance on laissez faire capitalism?
Try this on for size.

Your Mo N' Bigga Gubbamint answer to everything is tiring.

The Depression You’ve Never Heard Of: 1920-1921 | The Freeman | Ideas On Liberty
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FDR Accomplishments: US Unemployment 1933: 24.9, 1934: 21.7%, 1935: 20.1%, 1936: 16.9%, 1937: 14.3%, 1938: 19.0%, 1939: 17.2%. = 19.1% average.

But FDR did manage to Stimulus Fund the Tuskegee Experiments, let the Japanese attack Pearl Harbor, threaten to pack SCOTUS, jail Japanese Americans and ban hemp; Progressive call that "Greatness"

Ike passed Civil Rights, LBJ opposed it, Joe McCarthy was a Patriot and a Hero, Obama's a Marxist and Jesus wasn't a Community Organizer. Progressives, they lie about everything.
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Old 07-12-2010, 06:30 AM
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Quote: Originally Posted by PoliticalChic View Post
"...irrefutable ..."

Very nice word, and certainly an upgrade for you!

Sadly, you don't know what the word means, as the OP does exactly the reverse of the term.
No where in the OP did I see them claim that FDR didn't get us out of the depression. Just that a singular policy extended it by seven years.

Quote:
Unless you are ready to deny that the depression lasted longer here, under the FDR policies, than under nations that chose a less ideological fix...
I've already pointed out that it's disingenuous to compare a depression at another place and time with our depression. It's akin to comparing different wars. There might be some similarities, but they are different matters. As I noted, the Dust Bowl greatly compounded the depression. In my part of the world, people were leaving the cities to come and squat on our land because they were starving in the cities.

So, as I said, it makes an interesting academic debate. It's not terribly relevant to what happened. In other words, don't expect the history books to be re-written.

Quote:
But, kudos, for the choice of a new avatar. Far more adult...

now if you could only do something about the name...
Let's stay on topic. Especially since I could care less of your opinion about my avatar or name.
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Old 07-12-2010, 06:32 AM
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Quote: Originally Posted by geauxtohell View Post
Quote: Originally Posted by Skull Pilot View Post
Quote: Originally Posted by geauxtohell View Post

Bush is still relevant as we are still early in the Obama administration and he was the last guy that held the office for 8 years.

That being said, Obama is in charge now and he can't make a habit out of blaming Bush. However, it's totally appropriate to point out that Bush's mismanagement of Afghanistan is part of the reason we have problems there today.
Ah so you like to have it both ways.

typical libby.
Uh no. If you can't get the importance of time to this matter than it's no wonder you were lost.

Here's a good point: Clinton could have done more to get Bin Ladin. So he shares some culpability in 9-11 that happened under his immediate predecessor. The bulk of the matter is still on W., who was in office at the time.

FDR, on the other hand, can't be blamed for the matter.
rationalization is a wonderful thing.
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