Originally a
Keynesian supporter of the
New Deal and advocate of high taxes, in the 1950s his reinterpretation of the Keynesian
consumption function challenged the basic Keynesian model. In the 1960s he promoted an alternative macroeconomic policy called
monetarism. He theorized there existed a "natural rate of unemployment" and he argued the central government could not micromanage the economy because people would realize what the government was doing and shift their behavior to neutralize the impact of policies. He rejected the
Phillips Curve and accurately predicted that Keynesian policies would cause "
stagflation" (high inflation and low growth). He argued that a steady expansion of the money supply was the only wise policy, and warned against efforts by the treasury or central bank to do otherwise.